Guide Metallographer:2.15今日黄金走势分析，短期反弹力度或不大

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　周二数据显示，美国1Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)Year-on-year increase6.4%，预期上涨6.2%Last year12月份的涨幅为6.5%。CPIMonth on month increase0.5%，也高于去年12Of the month0.4%。剔除不稳定的食品和能源价格的核心CPIMonth on month increase0.4%, year-on-year increase5.6%，为过去12个月来的最小涨幅。虽然CPI数据略高于预期，但市场最初感到欣慰的是，数据没有变得火热。不过，市场随后显然意识到，通胀数据加上1月份强劲的就业报告，突显出尽管美联储采取了激进的政策，但经济和物价仍具有韧性和持久性。这些数据支持了美联储官员们最近的说法，即他们需要进一步加息，并在一段时间内将保持利率在高位，而且可能会达到高于此前预期的峰值水平。美联储掉期交易最新显示，美联储6月加息的几率接近50%。美联储掉期定价美联储2023year7月的政策利率峰值将达到5.27%。如果美联储的货币政策是随着这个预期路径走，那么黄金要想攀高将会变得十分坎坷。


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00britain1monthCPIMonthly rate of retail price index


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly adjusted trade account


　　18:00eurozone12Monthly industrial output rate


　　21:30Canada12Monthly wholesale sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A1Monthly retail sales rate


　　21:30U.S.A2New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month


　　22:00European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


　　22:15U.S.A1Monthly industrial output rate


　　23:00U.S.A2monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index


　　23:00U.S.A12Monthly commercial inventory rate


Technical analysis of gold:


Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold prices was in the eveningcpiUnder the data, there is a wide range of volatility and a big bearish wash, with prices revolving around1870-1843The market oscillated back and forth in a tug of war, eventually falling rapidly downwards in the early morning1850Continuing downward after the checkpoint1843Nearby stabilizing, fluctuating and rebounding, closing with a wide range of oscillating crosseskThe overall price rose, fell, and broke through the bottom, continuing the bullish and bearish oscillation rhythm. However, although there was a slight rebound at the close of yesterday morning, it still suppressed the opening and closing of the US market1868-1870Near the checkpoint, the overall price still suppresses the bearish form, and today's withdrawal relies on yesterday's opening of a falling position1868-1870The region continues to maintain its main bearish position and sees further volatility and decline, with short-term support below focusing on yesterday's low point1843-40Nearby, if the European market stabilizes at this position, it can be seen that the rebound will rebound again in a short period of time. Other positions with multiple orders will not participate, and the main empty space rhythm of the counter drawing will continue to remain unchanged;


From the daily chart, it can be seen thatKThe physical size of the line is not large, and it has entered a narrow range of consolidation rhythm. While consolidating and correcting, it accumulates momentum and moves downwards. However, every time a new low is reached in the short term, it will fall into oscillation, and the slow pace will fluctuate and fall. At present, in the hourly chart structure, the support below gold has once again broken through, and the market is still in a bearish rhythm. Therefore, the rebound will continue to be short selling. However, currently gold continues to maintain1850Based on the above analysis, the daily moving average system is still under pressure. Therefore, today's Guide to Finance suggests that it is still necessary to maintain a high-altitude mindset for operation, and the pressure above will continue to be maintained1865Area.


From4Looking at the hourly chart,4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the price fluctuates slightly and runs weakly, with the opening of the Bollinger Bands,KDJThe indicators are expected to form a golden cross, but the overall price is currently weak, so we will continue to waitKDJAfter the indicator forms a golden cross, prices begin to rise. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of low volatility in its trend, and after completing a wave of market washing yesterdayKThe short-term moving average continues to operate under pressure, and there may be room for further downward movement in the daily trend. After continuous washing of the market in the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a low level of volatility. After continuous fluctuations in the hourly level trend, the technical form begins to gradually recover and complete. There may still be some room for rebound in the short-term trend, but the strength may not be too strong. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest a rebound and short selling as the main approach, supplemented by a pullback and long selling. The short-term focus should be on the upper part1863-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1840-1843Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.15Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1863-1865Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1855-1850Nearby, break down and take a look1845frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1843-1845Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1850-1855Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above1