Guide Metallographer:2.13Today's gold trend analysis shows that the inflation data is rising and the gold is following...

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　又是新的一周，本周市场的焦点无疑在周二的美国cpi数据上，从市场预期来看，1月份环比增加的概率较大，而同比则会继续下行，但跌幅可能不及预期，如果成真的话，将抬高未来美国加息的峰值，资产价格也会因此承压。


　　这也是美国调整CPI分项权重后的首次公布，大家普遍认为此次调整将给1月核心通胀带来上行压力，不过有助于压低其后的通胀率。


　　另外，周末费城联储主席哈克讲话表示，意外强劲的一月非农就业数据并没有改变他的观点，即转向小幅加息对美联储来说是一个好策略，他指出，如果通胀继续缓解，2024年可能会降息，美联储需要实现5%以上的利率，然后暂停加息，现在不需要加息50Basis points.


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:30Switzerland1monthCPIMonthly rate


　　18:00欧盟公布经济预期报告


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金上周五十字K线收平，整体保持在高位整理，此前大阴K线奠定短期顶部回落，上周局部停顿整理修正，十字K线修正之后，本周仍有下行延续空间，大阴K线没有快速收复。黄金还是弱势震荡慢跌的走势，但值得注意的是，前期1852低点不破，也不太看好大跌空间，因此，周一预计是一个低位震荡吸盘的走势。结合盘面分析，日线低位背离严重，如果CPI数据利多黄金，黄金短期就见底，强弱转换出现，如果CPI利空或者影响不大，黄金维持弱势下跌不变，H4周期目前区间收口非常明显，在没有破位新低的前提下，千万不要追空，这种行情随时都可以反弹，所以追空很可能追到地板上，暂时可见的有效区间在小时线周期1875-1855之内维持在此区间内高空低多。


　　从目前行情节奏来看，在上周四数据机构行情的空头破位探低后，周五收官行情主要以反弹修正为主，围绕前期关键支撑位1860的争夺展开。日线在上周前期碎阳连续后，基本确立底部止跌，最理想的走势是后段行情出现大阳实体配合，这样多头将会更有力展开反攻，但事实是数据行情的干预，导致周四行情出现大阴回撤，破坏了行情的连续性，但周五常规行情依旧继续收线小阳，企稳前期重要支撑1860上方，空头未出现反转延续，多头同样延续性被破坏，所以本周而言前段可以继续维持1855-60相对低位至1880-90相对高位的区间去做底部区间调整的思路应对即可。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1872-1875First line resistance, followed by1885-90Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1850-1856Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.13Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1872-1875Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1865-1860Nearby, break down and take a look1855frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1855-1857Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1865-1875Nearby, break down and take a look1885frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above