Guide Metallographer:2.10Today's gold trend analysis, morning gold analysis and operation

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　　goldMessage interpretation:


Gold Price Thursday(2month9day)Rising, some Fed officials' hawkish comments on interest rates have helped limit further increases in gold prices. Boosted by the weakening US dollar, the US dollar index fell by approximately0.8%, to102.64Low point. After the release of initial data, spot gold briefly rose by more than10USD Breakthrough1890Pass, but then quickly fell back to1880Below, short line out and downVReverse. The decline in US treasury bond bond yields also provided support for gold.10Yields of one-year treasury bond bonds fell5.4Point, to3.595%. At present, the weakening of the US dollar against other major currencies has provided some support for gold, which has helped boost the attractiveness of precious metals denominated in the US dollar. Market analysts say traders will wait for more US inflation data to be released next Tuesday to obtain guidance on the next direction of gold prices.


As of1month28The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the current week is168.8Ten thousand people, an increase from the previous week's revised level3.810000 people.


Although the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits last week was higher than expected, data shows that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits has remained at2022year4Near the lowest level since the beginning of the month, it has been below20Ten thousand people. Economists are closely monitoring the US labor market as it is a major factor that may determine the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the Fed needs to see a weak labor market before slowing down its aggressive monetary policy stance. So far, there have been no expectations of an imminent slowdown in the US labor market. Last week, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that there were new additions last month51.7Ten thousand job positions. United States1monthCPIThe report will be released next Tuesday. In recent months, the decline in inflation rate has been faster than economists' expectations, and some traders in inflation related products are betting that the overall inflation rate may decrease in the coming months2%This level will be consistent with the Federal Reserve's goals.


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold still maintains a consolidation and volatile operation. Today is the fourth trading day after the decline, and there is no sign of a breakthrough. The longer this volatility lasts, the greater the probability of a change in price. In this market, special attention should be paid to the operation. The originally expected change was originally based on a rebound correction, but the strength of the rebound is not enough and there are endless fluctuations, which is a problem. Therefore, If the oscillation time is too long, the space and strength of the rebound will be consumed. In the first three trading days of this week, we have moved up from low to high every day, but the upward movement is too small, and the positive line entity is also very small.


From the trend of these days, it can also be seen that during the day, although gold prices can rise to1880Above, but often when closing at night, it falls back again1880Below, a longer shadow line is left, which does not represent a strong bullish trend. Instead, it reflects a weak upward trend. Recently, the position where the daily line has been blocked and tested is also where gold prices have fallen below1618Since the rise23.6%After confirming the suppression of this position, the further downward target for gold prices is expected to be38.2%Callback bit1828On the front line, the long and short divide of the daily line is still at1920On the first line, it is expected to be difficult to return to this position in the short term. This is also the position of the double neckline, as long as it is maintained below this position, the downward trend of the daily line will not end yet.


FromMACDIn terms of indicators, after several days of volatility, the fast and slow lines have gradually approached the zero axis. Although there is still some distance, there is not much room, indicating that there is not much time left for the gold price to rebound and correct. In the past two days, it is necessary to focus on the end of the correction and the possibility of starting the downward trend. It is recommended to continue following in terms of operation1886-1890The suppression situation, while the unexpected situation focuses on strong resistance1900To suppress the situation, maintain a bearish mentality overall and pay attention to the possibility of a recent downward trend in the market. On the hourly chart, the current market is still operating within the expected downward relay channel, but the channel is more horizontal and the oscillation range is narrower, indicating that there is no choice between the long and short sides under the current stalemate. The reasons for this phenomenon are firstly due to the backlog of rebound demand for gold itself, and secondly, the current state of the US Index has also had a significant impact on gold. During the day, gold will continue to maintain a fluctuating range, but the risk of abnormal movements in gold will increase in the next two days.


Stay tuned above the intraday gold technology level1890Frontline competition, this position is still under the upward pressure of the current volatile range. Once the market breaks through and stabilizes above this level, short-term bulls are likely to take advantage of this opportunity to rise, and the top will continue to pay attention at that time1895-1900Belt pressure. During the day, focus first on the lower edge of the oscillation range1870-68There is a possibility that the market will directly break through this level during the zone testing. In response to my personal opinion in the future, the current trend of gold is entirely a consolidation and repair of the sharp decline in the previous super data week. However, it is important to note that there has been no significant rebound in the strength of this repair, proving that the power of gold bears has not been fully released, so I am still optimistic about gold's decline. Overall, today's gold short-term operation strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest that the main focus is to rebound and short, supplemented by a pullback and long, with a focus on the short-term above1886-1890Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1860-1858Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.10Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1886-1888Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1875-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1860-1862Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1870-1875Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above