Guide Metallographer:2.9今日黄金走势分析，黄金依旧盘整震荡

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　　goldMessage interpretation:


Gold still maintains a consolidation and volatile operation. Today is the fourth trading day after the decline, and there is no sign of a breakthrough. The longer this volatility lasts, the greater the probability of a change in price. In this market, special attention should be paid to the operation. The originally expected change was bearish, but it should not fall. There is no end to the volatility, which is a problem. Therefore, if the volatility lasts too long, So the space and intensity of the decline will be consumed.


This round of gold decline is the market's expected fulfillment after the US dollar interest rate hike, while in contrast, this round of gold decline is a significant rebound in the US dollar after the rate hike, while the US dollar has rebounded significantly since last year11Since the beginning of the month, the US dollar has been plummeting, even with a US dollar interest rate hike midway through. However, after this interest rate hike, the US dollar has actually risen. Of course, the US dollar should have risen, but a one-time interest rate hike from the US dollar75After a few basis points, the US dollar peaked and fell, indicating that the interest rate hike had been very difficult to boost the US dollar. However, after this rate hike, the daily level of the US dollar rose, more like a rebound.


So the problem is, once it is confirmed that the rise of the US dollar is only a rebound, and it will continue to decline after the rebound, then the decline of gold is only a correction. At present, the prolonged volatility and consolidation of gold seem to be moving towards this expectation. After a major decline in gold, we will fall into habitual bearish positions. With continuous volatility and consolidation, our thinking will become sluggish and we will fall into habitual bearish positions. However, it is often this long-term correction of volatility that leads to changes and catches investors off guard.


From the current situation, it is highly likely that gold will fall into a long period of range fluctuations, and consolidation is the norm. Only after a high or bottom wash can a new direction be generated. However, from the current trend, if gold continues to fluctuate at this position for another period of time, it is likely that gold will directly turn from a decline to an increase, without further continuation of the short market. This requires special attention.


Today's Focus Data:


　　15:00Germany1monthCPIInitial monthly rate


　　17:45英国央行行长贝利作证词陈述


　　21:30From the United States to2month4Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨天如期走了冲高回落，符合预期，价格冲高四小时的上线压制回防到小时图的下线，短期来看反弹三小阳，今天比较关键，如果打不开中阳来后市还得下探去破底，昨日黄金上涨最高1886附近回落，最低到1868Region, closing1872附近，那么今日行情就是依然震荡寻求方向，很显然破位昨日高低位选择方向顺势进场即可。本周非农以后美元上涨70点，但是黄金自1860反弹没有破位1860区域，这就是说经过连续大跌，黄金抗跌明显，而且连续跌三天以后，市场已经消化非农预期走势，现在行情需要一个新的消息去指引，昨日黄金突破1884，但是收盘依然没有企稳，说明现在震荡修复行情依然存在，没有破位1860区域多头依然继续反弹考验压力。


　　从小时图上，黄金虽然对1885有刺破，但还处在预期的横盘区间内运行，整体技术结构依然还是具备下跌中继整理状态的，只不过随着时间的推移，短线行情结构重心有所抬升，加之美指调整需求可能也给黄金带来短线看涨动能，所以日内黄金才略显偏强，但是实际上涨动能有很有限，因为市场基本已经意识到黄金的中线下跌并未释放完，后期还有调整空间，故目前的反弹，包括未来可能有的反弹，都可以视作为空头回补动作，而非多头就此能展开回升趋势。操作上，黄金主思路还是以待反弹后进行空单布局为主，目前虽然偏强，但上涨动能很有限，尽可能的不去盲目追多，但短线空单的参与也要因为日内的偏强略作调整。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1886-1890Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1865-1868Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　2.9Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1884-1886Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1875-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1860-1862Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1870-1875Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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Solid Harvest Operation Plan:


　　1、5000The US dollar mini position is operated with a stable and conservative approach, with an expected return point of50%above


　　2、1-3A standard position of 10000 US dollars, operated through a combination of medium and short term operations, with expected revenue potential70%above


　　3、8Senior positions above $10000, supplemented by short-term and medium-term positions, with long-term positions as the main focus, with expected revenue potential90%above