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CPT Markets : The unexpected decrease in initial unemployment claims in the United States has boosted the US dollar! Anglo European Central Bank...

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This post was finally written by CPT to 2023-2-3 14:27 edit

Dollar index (DXY):

Dollar index

CPT Markets : The unexpected decrease in initial unemployment claims in the United States has boosted the US dollar! Anglo European Central Bank...914 / author:CPT / PostsID:1716269

The dollar index rose to101.85附近,由于美国初请失业金人数意外下降,使得美元获得上行提振。

日前美联储表示,对抗高通胀的行动已经来到了一个关键转折点,但仍然需要进一步提高指标隔夜利率,并至少在今年保持高位才能赢得胜利。市场的反应是增加了对美联储在3月如预期再加息25个基点后停止加息,然后在今年下半年降息的押注。美联储官员在12月预测将加息到5%以上,但交易员目前的定价是指标利率在6Monthly4.88%的峰值,然后到12Monthly decrease4.4%。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the US Department of Labor announced that as of1month21Rihe28日当周初请及续请失业金数据皆比预期下跌至18.3Wanhe165.5万,反映出就业市场有所改善。尽管借贷成本上升,对经济衰退的担忧日益严重,但劳动力市场仍有韧性。此外,美国商务部公布12The monthly rate of durable goods orders remains at5.6%, and12月工业订单月率低于预期至1.8%,显然对不易耗损的物品订购数量保持在固定需求,不过在工业订单需求有所萎缩。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 101.80,102.10; From the downward direction, the lower support101.30。
euro/pound (EURGBP):

euro/pound

CPT Markets : The unexpected decrease in initial unemployment claims in the United States has boosted the US dollar! Anglo European Central Bank...243 / author:CPT / PostsID:1716269

欧元兑英镑周四盘中涨跌互现后,今日开盘盘整在0.8921附近,由于此前欧洲央行一如预期将利率提高了50个基点,而英国央行对通胀采取了更加鸽派的基调,使得欧元和英镑上涨幅度有限。

欧洲央行至少在下个月还会有一次同样幅度的加息,并表示随后将评估其货币政策的后续路径。英国央行也将利率提高了50个基点,并放弃了在必要时继续强有力地提高利率的承诺,并表示通胀可能已见顶。欧洲央行的一些评论也被解读为鸽派,似乎 有更多全球央行转向的迹象。对此,道明证券高级foreign exchangeStrategistMazen Issa表示,央行处于根据数据作决策的模式,但这意味着他们不再处于控制地位,因此目前基本上是市场在引导央行。

In terms of yesterday's financial event data, the European Central BankECBAnd the Bank of EnglandBOE分别公布欧元区2月及英国1月利率皆如预期上涨50Bps to3%and4%,反映出欧洲央行基本符合预期,英国央行的基调更鸽派些。此外,德国联邦统计局公布12The monthly trade account has risen from expectations to100亿欧元,显示出资金净流入明显增加。

From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8920,0.8970; From the downward direction, the lower support0.8890。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.



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