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USD Index (DXY):
The US dollar index fell to102.24Nearby, although the Federal Reserve continued to release its hawkish tone, the signs of inflation cooling last week further strengthened the expectation that the Federal Reserve would withdraw from the aggressive interest rate increase route, which further weakened the downward shock of the US dollar.
美元在美国公布通胀数据前呈现弱势盘整,延续上周美国非农就业报告中薪资涨势放缓以及供应管理协会ISMCIPS services PMI PMIsince2020year5月首度跌破景气荣枯分水岭50所造成的颓势。而在美国通胀数据发布后,美元又迎来一轮抛盘,美元指数创下自去年6月以来的新低,因数据显示美国通胀出现降温迹象。
In terms of financial event data last Friday, the University of Michigan in the United States announced1月消费者信心指数大幅高于预期至64.6,预期和现况指数同样上涨至62and68.6,消费者信心上升意味着消费增长及经济走强。此外,美国劳工部公布12月进口物价指数年月率皆高于预期至3.5%and0.4%,显示出生产企业无法消化进口商品的物价上升,最终将推高产品出厂价格并传到至最终消费领域推高通胀。
From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 102.20,102.60; From the downward direction, the lower support101.80。
euro/pound (EURGBP):
欧元兑英镑上周五收盘小幅回落后,盘整在0.8869附近,基于上周美联储加息立场可能松动预期及欧洲央行料坚守打击通胀立场,欧元短线震荡支撑,而英国经济增长数据令人鼓舞,巩固了英镑投资者信心。
欧洲央行内部鸽派和鹰派阵营的许多言论似乎有差别。如果欧洲央行坚持其言论,其近 futures币政策方向可能相当有吸引力。与美联储相比,欧洲央行目前处于可能还不够坚定和已经可以预见的成功间,欧元能够从欧洲央行明显的鹰派决心中受益。针对英国GDP增长,上周一英国央行首席经济学家 休·皮尔 表示,最近几个月供应中断似乎有所缓解。消费者需求模式出现了一些正常化的迹象,我们开始看到劳动力市场指标出现转机。
In terms of financial event data last Friday, the Eurostat released the Eurozone11The monthly trade account improved to-152亿欧元,反映出出口经济有所带动增长。而英国国家统计局公布11月贸易帐下跌至-18.02亿英镑,商品贸易帐累计负成长至-156.23亿英镑,整体净资金流出呈贸易逆差。在GDP数据方面,德国去年年度GDP年率高于预期至1.9%,而英国统计局也公布11monthGDP月率比预期上涨至0.1%,反映出经济生产总额皆有大幅提振增长。
From the upward direction, the upper suppression(Upper resistance) 0.8860,0.8900; From the downward direction, the lower support0.8820。
CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.
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