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After a sharp drop in the closing price of gold against the US dollar on Thursday, the opening price of gold fell to1839.64Nearby, because Fed officials think it is unnecessary to change2%The data shows that the US labor market is more tight than expected, boosting the expectation that the interest rate increase will last longer. The US dollar index rose sharply to a nearly one month high, causing downward pressure on the gold price.
In terms of negative data, the USADPThe report shows that,12Private employment increased in January23.5Ten thousand. The Ministry of Labor said that as of12month31The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week has decreased1.9Ten thousand people, for9月底以来的最低水平。此外,商务部的报告显示美国11Monthly trade deficit narrowing21%to615100 million US dollars, for2020year9月以来的最低水平。在通胀分面,周四圣路易斯联储主席 Brad 表示,新的一年最终可能在通胀方面看到一些可喜的缓解。基于就业市场强劲背景下,可能将支持美联储保持激进加息步伐的预期,美元拉升创四周新高。
而在利多数据方面,此外,美国三大股市全数收窄,包含标普指数收跌1.16%、道琼指数收跌1.02%及纳斯达克综合指数收跌1.47%。
总而言之,美国经济数据表现强劲打压金价,不过美股全数收挫,限制了金价的跌势;日内重点将关注美国12月非农就业报告。从本周出炉的职位空缺、ADP数据、初请数据、ISMmanufacturingPMI就业分项指数等前瞻指标来看,12月非农数据偏向表现强劲,好于预期的可能性较大,这有望给美元提供进一步上涨动能,金价则面临进一步下行风险。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 1839.60,1841.20; From the downward direction, the lower support1837.90。
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