Guide Metallographer:11.4今日黄金走势分析，金价迎技术性修正

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Friday(11month4day)亚盘交易时段，在经历连续两个交易日上涨之后，美元指数高位回落，下跌0.42%，而黄金和白银则纷纷上涨，黄金上涨1.08%，白银则大涨1.33%。欧元、英镑等非美货币均不同程度拉升。北京时间20spot30分，美国劳工部将公布美国10月季调后非农数据，日内亚盘时段出现如此大幅度的波动实属罕见，注定今晚将是一个不眠之夜。


Wednesday(11month2day)ofADP美国就业报告显示，民间就业岗位的增加主要集中在服务行业，特别是休闲和酒店业。商品生产部门的招聘情况下滑，工厂减少了工作岗位。此前的一份报告在周二显示，9月职位空缺意外增加。美国10月份民间就业岗位的增长超过预期，为劳动力市场具有韧性提供了更多证据。上个月民间就业岗位增加了23.9Ten thousand.9月份的数据被下修，显示创造了19.2万个就业机会，而不是之前报告的20.8万个。经济学家曾预测10Private employment increased in January19.5万个。服务业增加了24.7万个工作岗位，其中休闲和酒店业占了21万个岗位。贸易、运输和公用事业行业的就业岗位增加了84000No.


Thursday Beijing Time(11month3day)before dawn2点，美联储公布了11月利率决议。此次决议不出市场预料地宣布将基准利率上调75Bps to3.75%-4.00%区间，这是美联储连续第四次会议宣布加息75个基点。自此，美联储官员们进一步夯实了本轮紧缩周期的一个纪录：该联储正以1980年代初以来最快的速度加息，以降低接近40年来最高水平的通胀。在今年6月之前，美联储自1994年以来从未在一次政策会议上加息幅度达到75Basis points.


Friday(11month4day)20spot30分，美国劳工部将公布美国10月季调后非农数据，目前前值是增加26.3万人，而市场预期为增加20万人，美国10月失业率前值为3.6%Market expectations are3.5%. Market expectations for the United States10月非农就业人数将再次增长强劲，不过晋廷认为，晚间可能会出现一些令人失望的情况。至于晚间就业数据以及失业率公布之后如何去判断涨跌，晋廷作一个简单分析，投资者可以参考，凡事不应一概而论，具体问题具体分析，晋廷也会即时给出实时操作建议，敬请留意。


　　1、当所公布的实际值，失业率小于或者等于3.5%，就业人数大于或者等于26.3万人，那么数据公布后美元指数会单边上涨，而黄金和白银则会单边回落。


　　2、当所公布的实际值，失业率大于或者等于3.6%，就业人数小于或者等于20万人，那么数据公布后美元指数会单边下跌，而黄金和白银则会单边上涨。


　　3、当所公布的实际值，失业率小于3.5%，，就业人数小于20万人，那么数据公布后美元指数以及黄金和白银均会呈现上蹿下跳之走势。


　　4、当所公布的实际值，失业率大于或者等于3.6%，就业人数介于20Ten thousand people and26.3万人之间，那么数据公布后美元指数会先跌后涨，而黄金和白银则会先涨后跌，涨幅大于跌幅。


　　5、当所公布的实际值，失业率小于或者等于3.5%，就业人数介于20Ten thousand people and26.3万人之间，那么数据公布后美元指数会先涨后跌，涨幅大于跌幅，而黄金和白银则会先跌后涨，跌幅大于涨幅。


　　6、当所公布的实际值，失业率大于3.6%，，就业人数大于26.3万人，那么数据公布后美元指数以及黄金和白银均会呈现上蹿下跳之走势。


Today's Gold Data:


　　15:45France9Monthly industrial output rate


　　16:50France10Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　16:55Germany10Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　17:00eurozone10Monthly service industryPMIFinal value


　　17:30European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech


　　18:00eurozone9monthPPIMonthly rate


　　20:30Canada10Monthly Employment Number


　　20:30U.S.A10Monthly unemployment rate


　　20:30U.S.A10Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment


　　22:00U.S.A10New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index


　　22:00美联储柯林斯就经济和政策前景发表讲话


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金周四再测前期低点，开盘先行反弹1640.80一线承压后走弱。慢性摔低，击穿1630后延续性测试此前低位1616dollar|盎司，尾盘下探后依旧启稳收盘在1630上方，日线收盘带有下影线，且没能一步击穿1615低点。而收盘的位置相对日内的空间是中性留有下影线，短线依旧存在支撑反弹，给今日非农登场留下较大悬念，技术面本身也没走出单边，消息面的不确定性更加大了多空悬念。是下探回升还是蓄势破位？今日日线周线收盘结构或许会加剧震荡幅度，争夺低点的得与失。亚欧盘预计整体会维持在1615上方走震荡修正，至于反弹的空间大小决定日内的强弱。


　　4小时图第三次下探测试低点，目前未破低点1615之前，4小时结构有点宽幅区间拉锯，单从日线来看，今日周线收官也是倾向于震荡收尾，而守住低点，短线有较大的反弹可能，不排除重新回升去测试区间上轨，消息面是决定能否破位的关键，技术面的形态暂时破位力度不足。故亚欧盘预计是维持在昨日低点之上走震荡修正。短期未下破1615之前也不敢过分看空。等待蓄势突破。1小时图昨日尾盘单阳拉起之后没能收低，前一日的收盘位置决定隔日的多空强弱延续，昨日收得位置偏高，且大阳线收稳，今日亚欧盘短线暂时维持之上看反弹修正。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1645-1650Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1620-1625Frontline support, friends must keep up with the rhythm.


　　11.4Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1645-1648Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1635-1630Nearby, break down and take a look1625frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1618-1620Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1635-1645Nearby, break down and take a look1650frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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