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Fang Yuan said Jin:11.3Interest rate increase is implemented, intra day trend analysis and operation layout

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goldMarket trend analysis:


   最近几个月就业增长强劲,且失业率保持在低位。通胀仍然高企,反映出与疫情有关的供需失衡、食品和能源价格上涨以及更广泛的物价压力。美联储将继续减持美国国债、机构债券和机构抵押贷款支持证券。委员会坚定致力于让通胀回归其2%的目标。鲍威尔发布会日内主体思路是暂时经济放缓加息尚早,预计在12Month or2月可能考虑放缓加息,因此,美元还是在近期内得到提振,黄金继续遭受打压看跌。


   11Monthly Federal Reserve Rate hike75个基准点确定,并没有改变黄金暂时的弱势空头看法,接下来就等待本周五11月非农数据的影响,大概率非农数据影响不大,也改变布林暂时黄金的弱势空头。今天周四,关注美盘失业金数据。回归到技术面,经过周三午夜的暴涨暴跌,基本确定近期黄金的大区间在1670/1630,目前这40美金的空间很难被近期的静默的市场打破,12月放缓加息确定才有可能破位。


   早盘黄金在1631附近直接上涨,目前在1640附近,隔夜1632挂单成功获利。从盘面中可以看到,日线周期,H4周期都是收口表现,所以,黄金近期还是以震荡来看,延续早盘上涨,亚欧盘或有部分上涨空间,上方关注1646,1656压制,等地上涨走完再结合形态做空。小周期可以明显看出,1630点位在10月末和周三午夜形成了形态的双底,所以,今天日内在结构形上涨中看1630的支撑,回落1630依旧可以做多。如果在上涨中站稳1646则可继续看1656的压制,大体看好先涨后跌走震荡。


日内交易策略:看好黄金1630的双底结构,1630支撑可多,上方关注1646,1656压制,1656可空!

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crude oilMarket trend analysis;



   原油周三多空争夺整体呈区间震荡上行,亚盘89.8受阻后下跌至87.7,美盘再次上涨,最高到达90.3.零晨回调,最终日线收阳于89.3,从日线形态看有继续上测90的势头,四小时线,呈区间震荡,先看90.5能否上破,小时线,布林轨平行呈90.2-88区间震荡,现处于中轨处,还有回调的空间,下方关注88and87,日内操作思路以回调多震荡上行为主



Crude Oil Strategy:

  1,87.9.-88.1Multiple, stop loss0.4, Objective89-89.5

  2Follow90.5的突破情况


Note: This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. If reprinted, please indicate the source. Kind reminder, investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Due to the latency of online publishing, operational suggestions are for reference only. Specific locations will be provided based on actual data. Please take risk control measures yourself.

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