Fang Yuan said Jin:10.26黄金回撤继续多，原油震荡看强势

goldTrend analysis:


   Wednesday(10month26day)亚洲时段，现货黄金震荡微涨，目前交投于1662dollar/盎司附近，美国经济疲软的更多迹象助燃了对美联储鹰派倾向缓和的猜测，市场对美联储12Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期降温，美元跌至近三周低位，美债收益率也从多年高位回落，短线均存在进一步回调风险，金价短线有望展开进一步反弹。


   黄金方面昨日多次探底1640后出现快速拉升，在突破日内高点1654后进入加速反弹阶段，日内最高反弹到1662附近出现回撤，该点位是周一下跌后的反弹最高点，从底部1638反弹超20美金同时又是多次反弹高点去接一次空单是没有问题的。今日开盘金价回踩最低从1649附近直接开启反弹，没有给到1645-46机会，并且午后已经刷新昨日高点，那么欧盘继续反弹到1668-70是大概率事件，这个点位是周一冲高后多头冲高出货的高点，也是日内首次考虑接空点位。


   下方支撑已经从1644-46一线逐步上移到1650-52一线，美盘前区间大概率会维持在1650-70之间，回踩1652-53依然有接多空间。日内的关键是1670的破位情况，1670上方还有1673-75等前期多次出现回撤点位。若晚间意外冲高那么大概率会继续延续到1680-84之间，这是日内二次开空点位。


Golden Operation Strategy:


Supporting attention1650--1652，回踩此区间企稳轻仓试多，防守1646，目标关注1662-1668；


　　日内反弹初见1668--1670Empty, defensive1675, look at the goal1660-1653；


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crude oilMarket trend analysis:


   Fundamentals, yesterday's fundamentals US8monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index recorded-0.7%, for2011year3The largest decline since the beginning of the month; U.S.A8monthS&P/CS20Recorded annual rate of housing price index in major cities13.08%, for2021year2The smallest increase since the beginning of the month. And then the United States10The consumer confidence index of the monthly consultation chamber was also lower than expected, allowing the US dollar index to continue the process of falling, and gold and silver oil to rise. Today's fundamentals are mainly focused on22:00The United States of America9Annualized total monthly sales of new homes, to be seen later22:30From the United States to10month21Day and WeekEIACrude Oil Inventory and US Shipping10month21Day and WeekEIAStrategic petroleum reserve inventory.


   原油昨天整体走势V型反转，亚欧盘下跌之后，美盘走出强势反弹并上破日内高点，在试探前高86之后出现回落，再次回归日内开盘价，整体来说还是震荡，多空皆有利润。我们昨天给出了83.5as well as83的多单获利85.2.因为周线布林带收口的原因，我们继续保持一个看反弹至中轨90-93附近的走势，所以日内大家可以在84继续多，给83.5Increase in position, loss82.5Look85.5-87！