Dingsheng Jinshi:9.20今日黄金走势分析，加息在即，提防1680穿刺...

——Message surface analysis——


Announced by the United StatesCPIData display,8Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded8.3%Exceeding market expectations8.1%, previous value is8.5%。 In the unexpectedCPIAfter the data was released, the Federal Reserve fully priced swap transactions9Monthly interest rate increase75Basis points, market sentiment towards the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate increase100The likelihood of a basis point expectation varies from22%Once elevated to47%Former US Treasury Secretary Summers also believes that the Federal Reserve9Will choose to raise interest rates in the month100Basis points. Subsequently announced8Monthly retail data also greatly boosted the US dollar, with announced values0.3%It exceeded the previous value and expectations, but the core retail sales were lower than expected, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time last week, which was announced at the same time as the retail data, further provided data support for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates significantly. The yield of the US two-year treasury bond bond hit a new 15 year high, and the US dollar also remained slightly lower than over20年高点的高位；对gold价格打压明显，最终跌破1680Acceleration occurs and descends to1654Low point, further widening the decline. The global tightening policy has quietly arrived, and everyone is waiting for this week's heavyweight decision from the Federal Reserve, and it is expected to continue to maintain a positive interest rate hike attitude this week.


　　——9.20Gold Analysis——


　　黄金前期由1680低点反弹回升至1800大关，随后冲高受阻展开了连续性下跌阶段，现在美联储9Monthly interest rate increase75基点已经是板上钉钉了，就连加息100基点的预期都开始升温。导致美元大幅拉升至110高位，黄金遭遇大幅回落，一度跌破1688and1780前低支撑，从而加速下行至1654低点，看空情绪骤增。物极必反，当大部分人认为还要继续跌的时候，往往就是最容易反弹的时候。随后熟悉的过山车洗盘行情再次呈现，受美国9月消费信心指数利多影响，迎来了强势反弹拉升，直接从1657低点飙升至1680关口，单边快速拉升23美金，来了个逆势上涨。隔日黄金亚欧盘并未延续上涨，而是承压1680分水岭再次跌回1660关口，随后美盘震荡蓄力上涨至1675高位，日内来了个下探回升走势。


　　黄金日线三连阴跌至1654低点得以缓解跌势，随后隔日再次下探1660低点回升，日内由阴转阳收以十字星，买盘支撑明显。现在重点就是本周美联储加息落地，重点将是1680底顶转换关键点，从当前收线来看对于反弹有利，若今日收阳那么更加明确。只是目前空头趋势压制还是严重，短期连续冲击1680关键点都未能逾越，高位形成双顶压制。可能美联储加息落地之前，黄金反弹也是有心无力，按照当前下跌幅度来看的话，4Hour from high point1807Starting to move on a downward trend, starting from a downward trend1Waves and3If the decline of the waves is used as a reference, the decline is all about80Around US dollars, then this decline5Waves from1735Starting descent, to1655It is the most standard. According to the wave theory, it is the law of eight wave cycles. If there are five waves falling, it is confirmed that1654The end, then what will come isABCAdjust the three waves. Plus daily and weekly linesRSIThey are all in the oversold zone, deepening the chances of a rebound. Speaking of 1000 to 10000, today's focus is still on1680Gateway and1688压力，目前空头趋势一目了然，若亚盘跌破1670那么还将测试1660附近，就很有可能还是个下探回升走势。


　　9.20Golden Strategy:1--1668Nearby, stop loss1760, Objective1675-1680


　　2--1686-1688Empty, stop loss1693, Objective1678-1773


　　——9.20crude oilAnalysis——


　　原油昨天走势可以理解为二次下探前低没破反弹，日线收十字星，早盘直接拉升，所以今天低多操作。目前报价85.38接近阻力，所以不能直接干多。假如行情突破昨天高点，回落日内低点附近多。如果走震荡会给到83.3even to the extent that82.3附近做多位置，要想涨不应该再跌破84.8，具体点位实盘为准。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!