Dingsheng Jinshi:9.19今日黄金走势分析，金价承压再失守，多头....

——9.19eveninggoldAnalysis——


　　黄金日内自开盘起，便承压1680一线震荡回修，跌回至1660一线，整体走势符合上周五晚间的判断，即行情在本周初再度走弱，且会呈现偏弱震荡态势。


　　日内黄金跌回至1660After being close to the front line, there was a certain rebound, but the rebound strength during the European period was indeed very small, with the peak only reaching1666On the front line, such a small rebound is enough to prove that the current market bulls' confidence is very low, and the overall sentiment is still in a bearish state. On the hourly chart, the trend of gold also shows a trend of evolving towards a horizontal triangular oscillation. Over time, the triangular oscillation zone may gradually narrow, and ultimately wait for the Federal Reserve interest rate to determine the direction early Thursday morning. However, it should be noted that the overall market sentiment is empty, and the market is easy to fall but difficult to rise1660Even below1650附近会有争夺，会有支撑作用，但一旦市场情绪再度偏激看空，则随时可能再度扩大下跌空间。所以从目前至周四凌晨，主思路还是保持看弱势震荡的预期，保留行情可能扩大调整空间的预期，但也要防范行情在重大基本面事件前出现异动走势的风险。


　　晚间黄金上方关注1670Nearby short pressure, the main pressure remains focused1677-80Belt, follow below1660Competition, mainly supporting attention1655-50One area. In terms of operation, the main idea is still to hold short positions and continue to choose high short positions. In key support positions, it is advisable to moderately try to short long positions, but it is important to recognize the risks of current long orders and only limit them to ultra-short positions. Do not blindly expect.


　　①晚间行情回撤1660附近，激进可继续极轻仓短多，欧盘时段已有此位附近多单的也继续持有，统一暂带止损1657, look at the goal1665/66附近即先减仓改保本止损，剩余持单可再看1670附近测试减离。


　　②晚间行情若回弹，有待至1675-77、1680附近再考虑短空，统一带止损1683上方，如果行情回弹幅度不大，激进亦可在1672/73附近先极轻仓尝试，目标统一下看1670以下先改保本止损，回撤1663-60、1655-50再做减仓。剩余持单一概与前期遗留空单留至周四凌晨美联储利率决定后再做去留。


　　③如果晚间行情意外跌回1660以下，则下方再关注1655-50区域，难有止跌再考虑搏超短多，具体策务必有待根据实际情况再做实时策略调整。


　　——9.19eveningcrude oilAnalysis——


Monday(9month19day)，国际油价继续下挫，因美联储鹰派前景利好美元，施压大宗商品价格。不过在欧盟12月对俄罗斯石油实施禁运之前，供应担忧料放慢油价跌势。欧洲下游用户料加快替代能源进程。


　　原油技术面，日线上周四大阴回测，落实了90一线拐点承压，当前跌破84，波段空单逐步得到成效；我们日内给出85.5空持有中，当前来讲，较为稳健的强压预计会下移86一线，而支撑则是82-81前低点，试探此区域看企稳信号，强支撑暂时关注月线79一线中轨处，在此范围内，预计还要运行几天时间，结合周线可能会出现四五月份类似的穿梭通道线走法，82-81及下方是不适合再去低空的，即便下穿，空间也看不远，容易出现背离的超跌反复反弹修正；目前空仓的直接等企稳后再参与操作即可。


　　原油思路：个人建议参考86及上方高空为主，82-81、79两位置等企稳信号考虑反手；


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!