鼎盛金师：今日黄金走势分析，CPI数据指引，多空大战一...

——goldAnalysis——


Tuesday Beijing Time20:30The United States Department of Labor will announce8monthCPI数据。在数据来临之际，部分观点认为通胀数据的影响已被市场完全消化，美联储在通胀达到其2%的目标前仍会持续收紧政策；其他观点则认为8monthCPI将会在一定程度上影响美联储9月的加息幅度。目前，市场押注美联储9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的可能性超过了90%。


　　目前市场预期8.1%，作为避险资产，目前美债收益率3.32%左右，也就意味着晚间的cpi要大于9%，实际利率才能下行，才能做多黄金。


　　如果是8.4%-9%，宽幅震荡为主，那我们就需要维持高抛低吸，先跌后涨的概率最大。


　　如果小于8.4%，黄金很有可能再度探底，甚至出新低。


　　其实通过分析，市场预期8.1%已经说明了一切，今晚大概率cpistay8.4%-9%，那么只要今晚cpi公布值在此区间，那么我们只需要维持高抛低吸即可。


　　上方依旧还是在1730-35区间开仓做空，下方则在1712支撑或者是1719附近支撑择机进场做多。


　　还有一点，如果说今晚直接出来低于8.4%，那么就不要抄底了。


　　可能会直接去1704附近，甚至是前期低点1688-90Here.


　　如果说非要提前布局的话，我是建议大家可以先择机高位进场做空，因为今晚不论怎么样，先跌的概率比较大。


　　所以，做空是没有错的，毕竟现在1735这里压制阻力关口也是没有破位，所以日线阻力依旧有效。


　　所以如果想提前布局就可以在1730-35这里进场做空，防守止损1740，下方目标看下1719Secondly1712-08。


　　——crude oilAnalysis——


　　原油还是昨日的思路，目前处在战火纷飞中，油市多头局面依然占优，虽经历了短暂的下跌后不过也是昙花一现，这也说明市场认为对俄能源的制裁后还处在供不应求的状态中，第二欧洲对油气的需求愈发紧张，这都对油价都提供了强大的支撑，那么本周来说低多还是首选，点位上关注86-86.5Keep going, focus on the first suppression in the evening90Once the bullish position is broken, it will continue. Otherwise, it can be shorted once in this position. Remember to short with a good stop loss, and the low bullish position is the first choice. Due to the lag of the article, the above analysis is for reference.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!