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——美指分析——
The US dollar index is hitting a new low2002year6New high since mid month110.80Afterwards, it fell back and turned down again after three weeks, with a cumulative decline of nearly0.9%to108.61Nearby, display110There is significant resistance near integers. The Federal Reserve policy meeting is approaching, and there is a demand for adjustment in the market. As mentioned earlier, the trend point of the US dollar is108Nearby, Monday fell to107.8The rebound and volatility of the post market trend have not continued to weaken, but they have emerged from their weakness. Therefore, the US dollar index has continued to decline and break through in the near future108Low point can be seen from behind105.6On Tuesday, the focus is on the US marketCPIData will have a significant impact on the US dollar.
——Message surface analysis——
The Federal Reserve's decision-making relies on data performance, and it is not surprising that there was a significant adjustment in the US dollar before the Federal Reserve policy meeting. But key fundamental factors continue to bring positive responses, encouraging the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive hawkish stance. The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the third consecutive time at this month's policy meeting75Basis points. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated at a meeting held at the Cato Institute this week that the Federal Reserve is "firmly committed" to fighting inflation and still has the potential to continue the policy path that has been initiated without incurring "very high social costs" and control price spikes. The Federal Reserve has repeatedly reiterated that even if economic activity may slow down and the labor market loses some momentum, the Fed will continue to raise interest rates until inflation appears to be under control. In addition, starting from this month, the Federal Reserve will also expand the scale of monthly asset liability reduction to950USD100mn
——9.13goldAnalysis——
周一讲过,黄金在1680,1688,1692,1702逐步走高之后,要看一波大涨,暂时中期趋势会改变,并且可能随着市场加息确定,黄金会走出大涨。全天走出了25In the broad space of the US dollar, the daily average remained stable at the moving average and closed continuously positive. Although it did not break the daily line's Bollinger track, it is clear that gold is strong. This wave of gold has risen again, indicating that1765,1830. According to the technical trend, Tuesday's strategy remains low and bullish.H4The performance in the cycle has not yet opened up Brin, but the strength is very obvious, breaking the previous high1735You can see the opening status later, and the bulls will form a secondary surge, which is closely watched by the Asian and European markets1735Whether to break the limit or not depends on the US marketCPIData shock. Small cycle, rising and falling at midnight1723So, support within the day1720Nearby, there are many support points for the Asian and European markets to fall back, but before the US market broke through1735Can continue to be bullish until1745The Asia Europe Plate is unbreakable1735Look at data such as shock performance.
For the intraday market, maintain a bullish outlook and maintain a bearish outlook1720附近,美盘前破位1735Hold multiple orders to view data, and the US market will not break1735Watch the oscillation and waitCPIData disclosure.
Golden Operation Strategy:
Gold1720Nearby, stop loss1714, Objective1730、1735!
——9.13crude oilAnalysis——
美油短暂震荡后出现连续震荡回弹,冲破88压力,一度测压至89上方,但后半夜行情回归震荡,日线最受收得一阳线,阳线实体突破10日线,但在上方20日线受阻。
从日线结构上来看,上周五再收阳线后,短线K线形态已经发生质变,而昨日收阳,进一步增强了日线级别趋势转多的意思。目前美油连续三日收阳,但在小时图级别,上涨至进行了两波,所以今日美油或有可能有延续回升,不过上方20Daily line89.3又有明显压制,所以日内美油保持偏强震荡的可能性较大一些。但如果行情出现意外上涨突破也不要惊讶,毕竟目前技术结构已经给出转势回升的条件,同时结合基本面情况,未来进入冬季,俄乌局势再度紧张,市场势必会对能源供给有所担忧,所以未来美油的回升可能会因为某一则消息而一触即发,而如果没有消息面支持,那么其短期内也不太可能跌到哪去。
日内美油下方关注10Daily line86.4附近短支撑测试,主要支撑则看昨低以及5Daily line85附近支撑测试,短期内美油调整只要不跌回85-84这个窗口区域,那么结构重心抬升,也就具备了上涨的条件。但是需要注意的是,目前美油短线上涨至小周期趋势末端,技术性的回修会有,不过基本面会不会再有干扰就不好判断了,毕竟原油相关基本面消息属实难以预判,这也是导致美油操作难度极大的根本问题。
操作上,日内保守选择观望,激进则围绕88-85区间进行短线低多高空,但务必轻仓,扩大区间则看89-84,如果走出大区间,则放弃任何操作,有待根据实际情况再做调整。
Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!
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