Dingsheng Jinshi:9.12Today's gold trend analysis shows that bullish rebounds have been hindered, but strong resistance has not yet been achieved...

——Message surface analysis——


Last Friday, Federal Reserve officials continued to deliver hawkish speeches, with Waller supporting a significant rate hike at the next meeting and Brad calling for a rate hike at the meeting75Basis points. The Federal Reserve has issued a series of hawkish speeches in recent weeks, focusing on interest ratesfuturesShow that the Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point increase to90%The yield of two-year US treasury bond bonds, which is sensitive to the expectation of interest rate increase, has created nearly15New highs since the beginning of the year, with market speculators holding long bets in the US dollar, creating8The expected aggressive rate hike by the Federal Reserve, which has reached a new high since January, will be detrimental to gold prices.


　　——9.12todaygoldTechnical analysis——


Gold weekly level: The short-term moving average has a dead cross downward, and prices are running below the medium track, which is also running below the contraction triangle in the early stage. In the medium term, it is still in a downward adjustment; However, frommacdThe green column shrinks and the trend of the fast and slow lines overlaps with the golden cross, indicating that the space below the future market may gradually shrink, or even if worn down, it is easy to immediately deviate and pull back;


Gold Daily Level: From1802fall to1688The weak downward channel has broken through, and the bottom is corrected by a slow weak rebound in the Yin Yang cycle to break up. The primary resistance to focus on this week is the mid track, which is currently moving down1736Frontline, but short-term5Rijincha to10The daily coincidence point becomes a certain support point1711-12At the same timemacdIt is also expected to form a golden cross at the bottom, so in the short term, there is a wave of rebound correction space for gold, but the large level is always in the2070Since the top suppression, the strong pressure on the upper rail gradually moves downwards in the descending channel1760As long as it runs in this position, the short trend bearish position will not change temporarily, and the rebound is used as a short-term correction to pave the way for a new round of decline; This TuesdayCPIInflation data and next Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate announcement are the factors that will have the greatest impact on stimulating gold prices in the future;


Gold4Hour level: The current price is stuck in66The daily moving average fluctuates repeatedly up and down, and there is currently no stable operating trajectory, resulting in short-term pressure1728The first line is quite obvious, and the price has been under pressure multiple times. If we stand firm, we can focus on the resistance of the half year line above1735; On the contrary, if the station is still unstable, it will continue to test the middle track1713And below;


Gold hour line level: morning pressure overnight high point1720A wave of decline, missing the overnight short-term trend support line, but still discontinuous penetration, with consecutive positive breakthroughs in the European market1720It means that today will be the main day for the roller coasters within the interval to be organized repeatedly, and in the evening, we will pay attention first1729-30The downward suppression situation, and the upward direction is the daily middle track1736However, based on the current strength of the operation, the rebound is not significant,macdThe rebound red column area has not been significantly increased, it is highly likely that1730There will be some suppression, backtesting, support1720-1715; Therefore, the next interval should be noted first1730-1715Pay attention to large areas within the area1736-1711Due to the discontinuous nature, do not chase up or sell down;


In terms of golden ideas:1730-1736Mainly from high altitude, back survey and observation1720-1715; invertedVAfter the decline, the support stabilizes and remains unbreakable1711Consider going long with a backhand approach and continuing to ride the roller coaster ride;


　　——9.12crude oilAnalysis——


Crude oil is in a state of intense war, with signs of taking off again at any time. After a brief decline, the oil price quickly returns to its original point. This indicates that the market believes that after the sanctions on Russian energy, it is still in a state of insufficient supply. The demand for oil and gas in Europe is gradually tense, which provides strong support for oil prices. This is also the confidence that the author emphasized last week that there is no sign of a significant drop in oil prices. So, for this week, the first choice is to lower the price and pay attention to the points85-84Keep going, focus on the first suppression in the evening90Once the bullish position is broken, it will continue. Otherwise, it can be shorted once in this position. Remember to short with a good stop loss, and the low bullish position is the first choice. Due to the lag of the article, the above analysis is for reference.


　　---9.12Oil evening strategy layout:1Suggest crude oil to pay attention to85-84Multiple orders entering, stop loss82, look at the goal90-92Area. (The above analysis is for reference only, and the admission risk shall be borne by oneself!)


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!