Dingsheng Jinshi:8.30今日黄金走势分析，上涨动能扼杀于摇篮中...

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Tuesday（8month30At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1734dollar/盎司附近，上一交易日美元指数冲高回落，虽然一度刷新了逾20年高点，但最终回吐全部涨幅，暗示美元上涨动能减弱，这给金价探底回升提供机会，金价一度跌至1720关口附近，最终收复了全部跌幅，金价走势走势变数加大。投资者目光开始转向本周将出炉的美国8月非农就业报告、ISMManufacturing and non manufacturing industriesPMI数据，鉴于目前市场对美联储9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期进一步升温，对欧洲央行9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期也显著升温，这会降低黄金的吸引力，因为利率上升意味着持有黄金的机会成本增加，投资者仍需提防金价震荡下跌的风险。


　　在上周五杰克逊霍尔会议上，鲍威尔发出强鹰信号：为了抗通胀，联储可能会继续加息并在高位维持一段时间。鲍威尔还以沃尔克时代的案例补充称，“历史纪录强烈警告不要过早放松政策”。市场参与者目前基本上预计，美联储将在9Raising interest rates at monthly meetings75个基点。贝莱德全球固定收益部门首席投资官表示，美联储可能会在今年快速加息，但是在明年，美联储应该观望一段时间，以避免政策过度风险。他在报告中写道：“(美联储主席鲍威尔的言论)并没有打消我们的信念，即联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)May be in9month21日的会议上再加息75个基点。”激进的加息以及美债仍保持高收益率水平，仍旧是黄金头上移不开的大山。然而，昨日白宫新闻秘书表示：预计非农就业数据将降温，这预示本周五的非农或会低于预期可能成为定局。至于白宫这么做的原因目前尚不可知，但如果非农再次走弱会导致美国衰退成为既定事实，届时美联储将不得不考虑是否继续推进货币激进措施。一旦市场对此得到进一步确认，金价或将开始存在上涨机会。不过如果周五就业数据结果保持健康，或者差距不是特别大，届时黄金将仍会继续承受抛售的压力。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金日内先如预期震荡回修，欧盘时段如预期回撤至1730下方。随后也如预期出现回弹，但整体波动空间不是很大，上方在1738再度表现承压，目前行情有所回修至1730Near.


　　按照日内黄金走势状态，整体是符合预期的区间震荡的，这也是迎合晚间美联储官员讲话的需要，以震荡的方式等待事件的选择。晚间黄金受继续关注1738-40短压，主要压力则依旧看5Daily line1743、10Daily line1748附近压力。下方则关注1730争夺，技术上存在跌破的条件和预期，如果跌破则再看1720, and even1710、1700Expectations.


Golden Operation Concept:


　　1733Empty, stop loss1738, Objective1720-1710


　　——8.30eveningcrude oilAnalysis——


　　美油日内先维持居高窄幅震荡，欧盘时段行情冲高一波测压至97.6On the first line, there was a significant correction in the market afterwards, and the current low point has dropped to93.7frontline. Although the adjustment of the European market's downward trend is technically necessary, the short-term decline is significant, and attention should also be paid to it. The evening market may not be as strong as expected. At the same time, after an extreme rise in the market, there is also a need for spatial adjustments, which can provide opportunities for new orders to participate.


　　晚间美油操作上，主思路还是以择低多为主，但是需要注意日内出现的回落，表明当前多头动能还是不够强，市场情绪不是很稳定，操作风险也就会有所加大。晚间美油关注96-96.5Under pressure, let's take a look at the support below5Daily line94.5Competition, main support lowered to93Nearby, conservatives will temporarily take a look, while radicals will focus on the above range and focus on short-term low and high altitude.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!