Dingsheng Jinshi:8.26Today's gold trend analysis, gold1765受阻回落 today...

——消息面——


Thursday(8month25day)The international gold price has reached a new high in a week1765.47dollar/盎司，因美元涨势在最近几天失去动能，投资者静待美联储主席鲍威尔即将在全球央行年会上发表的讲话。美联储没能及时预见40年未见的严重高通胀，如今不得不被迫迎头赶上。受美元回落支撑。投资者等待美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上就利率前景给出暗示。市场等待鲍威尔将于周五(8month26day)在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上发表讲话。全球金融市场投资者都在美联储重申控通胀承诺或发出“转向”温和加息的信号。


The Federal Reserve7Raise interest rates again in the month75Basis points, its interest rate hike has surpassed the past40At the limit of the year, while the Federal Reserve expresses its determination to curb inflation, Federal Reserve decision-makers7The monthly meeting minutes acknowledged for the first time the risk of excessive interest rate hikes, believing that there may be a slowdown in interest rate hikes at a certain point in the future, but did not specify when to slow down or end. Undoubtedly, there is evidence at the macro level that price pressure is about to peak, and the contraction of private sector activity gives the Federal Reserve reason to slow down interest rate hikes. However, the inflation rate remains at8%Above all, in order to tame the upward pressure on prices, the Fed's arduous water harvesting work is far from over. Therefore, in the context of the looming global energy and food crises, supply side bottlenecks have led to high prices in the United States and even globally. The main task of central banks in major global economies remains to curb inflation.


　　——8.26goldAnalysis——


　　现货黄金周四早盘自1750关口附近连续走涨，欧盘破位1760关口，高位触及预期阻力1765一线，美盘出现快速回落，重新回归1760关口下方，整体多头反弹虽有延续，但空头阻力位表现敏感，多空争夺较为激烈……


　　从目前这几日的走势来看，虽然多头的反弹有延续的趋势，但是在整数关口的阻力密集区空头依旧有力度表现，且相对于前期空头回撤力度而言也是比较有限的，所以对于多头的延续还是需要后市验证，谨慎对待。另一方面，这两日国际局势动荡，避险情绪也是助推多头反弹的势能之一，所以后市阻力区企稳后，依旧以回归前期趋势空头对待即可。


　　技术面而言，此轮多头反攻也是刚好到达日线下轨支撑位置，是属于正常的技术反弹修正，目前反弹高位来到了中轨压制位1770附近，是否能够延续反弹，还是需要关注此位置争夺情况。短线而言，日内阻力区表现在1760-65一线，同时配合上方1770技术阻力区，晚间美盘后段博弈依旧可以依托1770关口压制去做破位再酌情安排。


Operational strategy:1765Near empty, stop loss1770, Objective1755Callback1745，1750Multiple, stop loss1739, Objective1760


Internationalcrude oil资讯——


　　国际油价触及逾三周高位，由于主要产油国可能减产、伊核协议重启进程不畅、俄罗斯出口中断以及美国炼油厂部分关闭，供应紧张担忧加剧。尽管美国汽油需求不温不火，限制了涨幅。沙特能源大臣此前表示，石油输出国组织及其盟友(OPEC+)必要时将通过减产来捍卫价格。而旨在恢复伊朗核计划的谈判仍然停滞不前，任何有关伊朗原油重返国际市场的预期都受到质疑。


　　WTI原油行情分析——


　　原油周四开盘在95.332dollar/桶，开盘后出现了窄幅震荡走势，高点在95.709美元承压，冲高遇阻后，油价向下调整，低点给到93.888美元徘徊。原油日线级别，先扬后抑，企稳92.80On the first line, the market rose and regained lost ground at a high level, with a fluctuating rhythm. However, the overall trend is rebounding upwards, and the daily trend is stable with a reversal trend above the short-term moving average. Looking at the four hour trend chart,MACDThe golden fork diverges,KDJGolden cross divergence, expected to establish a bottom in the short term, with a focus on attention200Resistance level near the daily moving average95.69If the resistance level can be broken through, it will increase the bullish signal in the future. In the short term, it will8month3Daily high96.54、8month1Daily high98.60and55Daily moving average100.51附近也存在一些阻力。综上所述鼎盛金师总结：原油今日冲高遇阻出现下跌，表现出多头获利了结，今日操作上考虑高空现行，低多择机，上方关注96.5-97.2USD resistance, follow below92.7-90.9USD support.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!