Dingsheng Jinshi:8.24今日黄金走势分析，金价多空再陷泥潭展开...

——8.24gold升破下降趋势线，金价展开区间调整——


　　8month24日周三亚市盘中，国际黄金走势震荡上涨，金价早间开盘价格1748USD, lowest drop to1743美元后企稳反弹，最高涨至1753USD, currently trading in1752Around the US dollar.


　　上周黄金承压，跌势一度在本周延续，不过周二金价反弹，结束了日线六连阴，鼎盛金师认为，周二公布的欧美经济数据表现惨淡，加剧了市场对全球经济衰退的担忧，拖累美元从近20年高位附近回落，以及对地缘局势的担忧再度升温，在金价连续下跌之际，吸引逢低买盘与避险买盘，为金价的反弹提供了动力。


　　展望后市，鼎盛金师认为，欧美经济数据表现差劲，表明经济活动正在转弱，引发了市场对美联储可能不会那么激进的一些猜测，这为黄金提供了一些支撑，不过目前市场上仍普遍预期美联储主席鲍威尔，将在本周发表鹰派讲话，这意味着金价短线虽然反弹，但仍有一定的下跌风险。


　　消息方面，周二公布的美国新屋销售数据，骤降至最近六年以来的低点，美国8Monthly comprehensivePMI初值下降至最近两年以来的低点，美国白宫将其对今年经济的预测，从3.8%大幅下调至1.4%，这对金价有利。另外地缘局势依旧紧张，为黄金提供避险支撑。美联储官员继续发表鹰派讲话，卡什卡利表示美联储必须收紧货币政策，市场预期美联储主席鲍威尔将在本周发表鹰派讲话，美联储9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的概率上升至52.5%，美元维持在近20年高位附近，这对金价不利。


　　技术面上，日线级别，周一金价下跌在布林带下轨附近企稳，跌幅收窄，显示下方存在一定支撑，周二金价据此反弹，一度突破下降趋势线压制，但最终还是收于下方，周三黄金直接突破下降趋势线，表明黄金跌势得到缓解，金价有从下降趋势向横向趋势转变的迹象，KDJAndRSI指标有形成金叉迹象，显示金价在连续下跌之后，存在调整需求；4小时级别，黄金止跌企稳向上突破下降趋势线后，布林带出现缩口走平迹象，金价短线偏向震荡整理。


　　总体来看，一方面地缘局势为黄金提供避险支撑，以及市场对全球经济衰退的担忧，限制了黄金的下跌空间，另一方面则是市场预期，美联储主席鲍威尔周五将会发表鹰派讲话，美元还有继续走强的机会，这对金价不利，黄金短期可能继续从下降趋势，向横向趋势转变。操作上，鼎盛金师建议保持区间震荡思路，黄金虽然还有一定的下跌风险，但此时已不宜过分看空，价格上，下方支撑关注1743USD,1735USD, upper pressure attention1754USD,1760美元；若金价重回下降趋势线下方，将会加强短线看跌信号。


　　【08.24欧美盘黄金思路参考】


　　①黄金回落1743-45More, defense1737see1753-60


　　②晚间初见1759-60空一次，防守1766see1752-47


　　——8.24eveningcrude oilAnalysis——


Wednesday(8month24day)International oil prices have reached a new high in over three weeks, continuing the overnight surge. Amidst the continuous positive news of the resumption of the Iran nuclear agreement, investors are concerned that major oil producing countries may launch new potential production cuts. The recent surge in natural gas prices has also boosted expectations of tight crude oil supply. The two major markets surged overnight and nearly4%. Previously, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Abdulaziz, the actual leader, stated that the organization may reduce supply to balance the market. He said that the oil market has fallen into "schizophrenia", and derivatives and spot prices are becoming increasingly disconnected. American Petroleum Institute(APIAccording to data released on Tuesday, as of8month19US crude oil inventories decrease during the current week563.210000 barrels, but analysts estimate a decrease150Ten thousand barrels, this highlights the tight supply. Despite an increase in gasoline and distillate inventories. Official US Energy Information Agency(EIA)Weekly oil inventory data will be available on Wednesday Beijing time22:30Announcement.


　　原油方面，周二原油震荡直接走涨，美盘加速冲高，尾盘收线在高位，日线以实体阳柱收尾，确认上破日线中轨压制，那么昨天提到的走势情况就出现了，日线周期5Daily moving average10日均线形成金叉，突破日线布林带中轨压制，形成破位上涨走势，晚间上方继续关注前高95附近争夺，以及60Daily line95.5-7短压，技术上需要一波小幅的回撤确认支撑过程，下方可关注93、92附近支撑，短线思路倾向于先承压回修再反弹，但具体得看晚间EIA原油库存数据如何影响，届时根据数据情况再做策略调整。


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!