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今日消息面解读：
上周金价下跌逾50美元，因在杰克逊霍尔经济研讨会召开之前，美元走强令金价承压。美联储主席鲍威尔定于周五在杰克逊霍尔央行会议上发表题为“经济展望”(Economic Outlook)的主题演讲，将是本周gold的重要推动因素。
对于美联储将在9Raising interest rates at monthly meetings50A basis point or75个基点，市场仍存在分歧。芝加哥商品交易所的美联储观察工具显示，加息50The probability of a basis point is56.5%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is43.5%。
RJO Futures高级商品经纪商Bob Haberkorn表示，市场将密切关注美联储利率立场的任何变化。
他还表示：“美联储未来可能会坚持加息。这就是为什么金价现在缓慢而稳定地下跌。如果杰克逊霍尔研讨会出现一些变化，可能会对黄金市场产生重大影响。但这是意料之外的。然而，他们可能会说一些关于房地产市场衰退或零售业的事情。总体来看，考虑到加息传闻，美国股市的状况还不错。股市是否在告诉我们，美联储不会这么激进?黄金市场告诉我们的情况则不同，因为黄金与美国国债收益率存在竞争。”
一年一度的杰克逊霍尔(Jackson Hole)全球央行年会将于本周五(8month26day)重磅开幕。美联储主席鲍威尔将有机会在会议上重新设定金融市场的预期。英国央行行长贝利将出席，但欧洲央行行长拉加德不打算出席。欧洲央行执行委员会成员伊莎贝尔·施纳贝尔周六将在一个小组会议上发表讲话
Finance websiteFxstreet称，本周杰克逊霍尔研讨会或为美联储提供一个平台，抑制市场降息定价，削弱投资者对黄金的兴趣。
Gainesville Coins贵金属专家Everett Millman表示：“美联储的鹰派立场植根于市场预期。美国国债收益率也在再次上升。对黄金而言，实际利率与金价有很强的相关性。随着加息预期深入人心，金价将正常化，实际利率将产生更为中性的影响。现在，他们正在打压金价。”
按照Walsh Trading联席主管John Weyer的说法，随着金价跌破每盎司1770美元，未来可能进一步跌向1715USD.
RJO Futures高级商品经纪商Bob Haberkorn在杰克逊霍尔研讨会召开前警告说，本周美元可能会大幅上涨。在这种环境下，黄金很难上涨。黄金的支撑位在1720美元左右，若跌破将下降到1700美元，但低于这个水平就会有买盘。”
Gainesville Coins贵金属专家Everett Millman表示：“预计今年金价不会跌到1600美元这么低的水平。但短期而言，跌破1700美元有下行风险。”
OandaanalystEdward Moya表示，在杰克逊霍尔年会结束之前，投资者将避免大规模建仓，因此金价可能会在1750USD to1800美元之间形成一个交易区间。杰克逊霍尔年会可能不会引发任何重大意外，因为美联储似乎仍处于以数据为准的状态。
Technical analysis of gold:
黄金上周延续下跌收阴，日线形成四连阴。自1802一带压以来，一路回吐至1755低位，从最终量的结构来看，连阴小K线慢性震荡下跌，边整理修正边下跌的走法，由于指标暂时凌乱发散，没走出极弱的单边，而是亚欧盘长时间震荡修正，美盘再摔低且收低。昨日的空间从1772摔跌至1755.基本上是昨日的日评预期的区间，随着日线的连阴回落，短线仍会伴随弱势下探。而美元短线多头正劲。继续令金价承压，4小时图正处于下跌浪形延伸当中，慢性的下跌，下行通道比较明显。维持在布林道中轨附近承压反复摔出新低。这种比较鲜明的空头结构，1小时图则继续维持在小台阶震荡下跌当中，随着反弹高点的下降。高点由1786-1772.反弹力度在减弱，形成弱台阶震荡下跌，在台阶下跌行情中，注意的是目前黄金的回落力度已经明显减弱，能量出现多次背离，随时出现超跌反弹的情况。从黄金的结构上看，1680-1808这里的反弹A浪已经是一个阶段了。自1808回落以来进入了同级别的回落调整模式，也可以说是大区间震荡调整修复。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1757-1762Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1735-1730Frontline support.
Operational strategy:1750-1752Air defense1760.50target1738-1730.落袋一半破位下看。
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