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指南金师:黄金走势分析,戴利再放狠话,美元再冲新高

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  goldMessage interpretation:


  凌晨圣路易斯联储主席布拉德发表讲话,言论偏鹰派,持续支持美联储维持先前的加息幅度,即在9月会议上继续加息75个基点,表示美联储应该继续迅速将政策利率提高到某个水平,这个水平要能对通胀产生巨大的下行压力。鹰王言论发布后,金银持续延续下跌趋势,双双创近期新低。


  隔夜公布了美国上周续请失业金人数,结果值录得25万,低于预期值26.2Wanhe26.5万,美国初请失业金人数三周以来首次下降,初请失业金人数下降表明劳动力需求依然健康,因企业试图在劳动力短缺持续的情况下吸引和留住员工。不过,由于经济形势不明朗,几家雇主一直在裁员或冻结招聘。随着美联储采取激进的加息措施,这种情况可能会继续下去。


  美国还公布了美国8月费城联储制造业物价获得指数,结果值为23.3, lower than the previous value30.3。同时还有美国7Annualized total sales of completed houses481Ten thousand households, for2020year5New low since the beginning of the month. U.S.A7月谘商会领先指标月率值录得-0.4%,虽然高于预期-0.50%And before value-0.80%,但均处于负增长阶段。综合来看,数据好坏参半,除了就业人数增加以外,其他方面的数据均不是很乐观,经济欠佳,大宗商品价格易跌难涨,金银也是,易跌难涨。


Today's Focus:


  14:00Germany7monthPPIMonthly rate


  14:00britain7Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment


  16:00eurozone6Monthly adjusted current account


  20:30Canada6Monthly retail sales rate


Technical analysis of gold:


  昨日金价整体技术面延续空头压制震荡下行格局,亚欧盘价格受阻力1767一线小幅回落走跌,午后向下试探企稳1760关口探底回升破高,并在美盘前一度加速冲高突破1770关口横盘震荡,晚间小幅冲高承压前一日开跌口1772一线再度回落下行破底,并在美盘价格迎来弱势回落收盘于1758关口,日k线报收冲高回落吊颈中阴,整体价格继续呈现空头压制回落破底走势,日图最终收出一根上影线较长的小星阴线。从当前盘面来看,趋势空没有任何改变,均线系统空头排列,短期均线5and10日死叉向下,价格运行于20天均线下方,价格有进一步加速探底过程,裸K正反系统仍然提示空头,而四维图表日图至上线压制下行,目前运行于指引线下方,昨天也破了中轨,后市继续向下线运行;


  四小时价格昨天压制以中轨,目前已经到达加速线,从近期的运行来看,四小时中阳修正,中阴下破,迷惑性很大,所以很都时候反复震荡就容易被四小时诱导,这与前两天的油的运行有点像,四小时大幅拉升,如果你认为是多等回落多一定是坑,黄金也一样,四小时看似转折,实际是给了最好的空点,因此趋势的重要性就来了,说的通俗点就是日图空头不止,四小时及以下周期仍何反弹都是空的机会,所以只需要盯着日图就可以,而当下来看日图破中轨,压制就在这里,而空档与小时图的上线压制共振,而下方仍然是关注加速线的下破,如果下破就锁定周线下方和日图下线,给这里再尝试多,今日上方压力关注昨日美盘小时线开跌口1768-1770区域,日内反抽依托此位置继续主空再看回落,下方目标位依旧关注破底,近期多空强弱分水岭1772一线,日线级别收盘未站稳此位置之前,任何反弹都是做空机会,多单需谨慎,综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注1770-1773USD resistance, follow below1750-1745Support.


Suggestions for Gold Operations:


  1:黄金反弹1767-1770Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1760-1755Nearby, break down and take a look1750Frontline; (Suggested for reference only!)


  2:黄金回调1745-1750Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1760-1765Nearby, break down and take a look1770Frontline; (Suggested for reference only!)


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