Guide Metallographer:8.19今日黄金走势分析，开盘1750支撑多单进场

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Thursday(8month18day)，国际金价冲高回落，因美元走强，创7month28New high in recent days106.955，抑制了金价涨势。尽管美联储7月会议纪要暗示加息立场不那么激进，但投资者确信，美联储将坚持其紧缩政策路线。金价隔夜创下8month3Recently, it has reached a new low1756.80dollar/盎司。美联储7月会议纪要显示，美联储将因应通胀缓解而考虑放慢未来加息步伐。此前公布的7monthCPI显示，美国通胀有缓解迹象，


　　但美联储纪要强调，“几乎没有证据”表明通胀压力目前正在缓解。投资者也确信，美联储将坚持其紧缩政策路线。周三公布的美国零售销售数据大多乐观，继续推动美元上涨。“由于美元再次上涨，黄金短期内可能会继续挣扎，日内维持窄幅区间震荡，接近昨天会议纪要公布后录得的两周低点，因此在今天欧洲和美国交易时段，下行风险仍然存在。”“黄金市场信号表明，下行趋势正在加强，这与市场希望美联储在通胀降温之际转向的预期相冲突。只要金价在年底前保持在1890美元下方，投资者就不该相信金市会因为美联储政策转向而出现质的变化。”


　　由于美联储迅速加息以抑制通胀压力，自3月初突破每盎司2000美元重要关口以来，金价已下跌近300美元。交易员目前预计，美联储9Monthly interest rate increase at least50个基点，但连续第三次加息75个基点的可能性仅略高于40%。经过连续两日减少之后，黄金futures市场隔夜未平仓合约增加约0.25万手。同时，黄金期货交易量增加了约4.43万手，扭转前期回调势头。由于黄金期货未平仓合约和交易量上升，金价本周跌势扩大，短线将出现进一步疲软。


　　美联储的鹰派预期引发了美债收益率新一轮上涨，这为美元提供了额外支撑，并进一步推动资金逃离非孳息资产黄金。尽管如此，对经济衰退的担忧加剧，加之避险冲动，或将为避险黄金提供一些支撑，并有助于限制金价的进一步下跌，至少目前是这样。


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold continued its decline and closed lower yesterday, with its highest rebound at1782.30Under pressure on the first line, hold on to the neck line of the low mouth, and the pressure will fall again to break through the low, breaking through1765to1759.80At a low level, the daily line touched the middle track of Bollinger Road and closed nearby. Today we still need to test the gains and losses of the medium track, and the current pace of the daily line is slightly slow and stagnant. Accompanied by a three consecutive negative pullback, it broke the previous weak upward pattern, but the space for pullback seems not too large, and it will be horizontal consolidation for a longer time.


　　4Houtu walked out of the head and shoulder top falling shape, falling below1783Continuously descending after the neckline. At present, a small-scale two wave decline has also been constructed, relying on1807Make one wave high point, while the small period two wave high points are1786.70.This is also the reason why we have been bearish below this level this week, as the critical point has not recovered and the short-term trend remains bearish. The hour chart shows a step like oscillation decline, but the pace is relatively slow. The step decline is characterized by a chronic oscillation. After sorting out the hour chart at the beginning of the week, the moving average indicator has turned downward, and the short-term thinking for the day relies on it1783Make a defensive rebound and bear short first, breaking the low point in the hourly chart1770-1772Forming resistance, today's upward pressure focuses on yesterday's US market opening and closing1773-1772Nearby, rely on this position to suppress the main air and continue to see the fall. The target position below is still focused on breaking the bottom, and the recent divide between the strength and weakness of the long air1780At the checkpoint, before the daily level closes at this position, any rebound is a short selling opportunity. It is important to be cautious when placing multiple orders. In summary, today's gold operation guidelines suggest that the rebound should be mainly high altitude, with a pullback as a supplement. Pay attention to the above1770-1773USD resistance, follow below1754-1750Support.


　　8.18Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1770-1773Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1760-1755Nearby, break down and take a look1750frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1752-1754Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1760-1765Nearby, break down and take a look1770frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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