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指南金师:今日黄金走势分析,晚间镑日迎来波段做空机会

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  goldMessage interpretation:


Thursday(8month18day)现货黄金维持跌势,投资者继续消化美联储7月会议纪要,该纪要显示联储将继续加息,但加息步伐将放缓。


  在美元和债券收益率周上升后,金价徘徊在两周低点附近,尽管会议纪要公布后跌幅有所收窄。


  一位业内资深人士表示,金价明年可能升破2,000美元,因通胀仍在高位,这将为通常被视为对冲物价压力的传统金属提供支撑。


  鉴于美联储最新的会议纪要暗示加息可能推迟或幅度更小,这表明“市场将不得不适应通胀数据在更长时间内高得多的局面,”澳大利亚Evolution Mining Ltd.执行董事长Jake Klein说。“这对黄金来说是件好事。”


  周三公布的美联储7月上次会议纪要显示,官员们认为有必要最终放慢加息步伐。与会者还对可能损害经济的过度紧缩提出了警告,同时指出通胀压力变得根深蒂固的风险。


  2022年,尽管包括美联储在内的各国央行大举收紧货币政策,加息削弱了这种无息金属的吸引力,黄金价格仅下跌4%,


  与此同时,一些地缘政治风险再次抬头,因为美国和台湾将启动一项贸易和经济倡议的正式谈判,在中国大陆的反对下履行长期计划的深化关系的承诺,这支撑了对黄金的避险需求。


  现货金价周四交投在1,765美元。金价此前在2020year8The month reached a record breaking level2075.47美元,今年早些时候接近这一水平,第二季度有所下降。


According toFS InvestmentsChief Market StrategistTroy Gayeski说,大约一年后,当美联储转向宽松政策时,价格将反弹。


In theKlein发表上述言论之前,Evolution周四早些时候公布,该公司全年净利润下降6%, to3.233AUD 100 million(close2.24USD100mn)。根据一份声明,该公司计划在2023财年增产12.5%,至约72万盎司,并在第二年再增产11%。


Technical analysis of gold:


Gold continued its decline and closed lower yesterday, with its highest rebound at1782.30Under pressure on the first line, hold on to the neck line of the low mouth, and the pressure will fall again to break through the low, breaking through1765to1759.80At a low level, the daily line touched the middle track of Bollinger Road and closed nearby. Today we still need to test the gains and losses of the medium track, and the current pace of the daily line is slightly slow and stagnant. Accompanied by a three consecutive negative pullback, it broke the previous weak upward pattern, but the space for pullback seems not too large, and it will be horizontal consolidation for a longer time.


  4Houtu walked out of the head and shoulder top falling shape, falling below1783Continuously descending after the neckline. At present, a small-scale two wave decline has also been constructed, relying on1807Make one wave high point, while the small period two wave high points are1786.70.This is also the reason why we have been bearish below this level this week, as the critical point has not recovered and the short-term trend remains bearish. The hour chart shows a step like oscillation decline, but the pace is relatively slow. The step decline is characterized by a chronic oscillation. After sorting out the hour chart at the beginning of the week, the moving average indicator has turned downward, and the short-term thinking for the day relies on it1783Make a defensive rebound and bear short first, breaking the low point in the hourly chart1770-1772Forming resistance, today's upward pressure focuses on yesterday's US market opening and closing1773-1772Nearby, rely on this position to suppress the main air and continue to see the fall. The target position below is still focused on breaking the bottom, and the recent divide between the strength and weakness of the long air1780At the checkpoint, before the daily level closes at this position, any rebound is a short selling opportunity. It is important to be cautious when placing multiple orders. In summary, today's gold operation guidelines suggest that the rebound should be mainly high altitude, with a pullback as a supplement. Pay attention to the above1770-1773USD resistance, follow below1754-1750Support.


  8.18Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1770-1773Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1760-1755Nearby, break down and take a look1750frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


Multiple order strategy:


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1752-1754Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss6Points, target1760-1765Nearby, break down and take a look1770frontline; (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)


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