Yu Yue on Jin:8.17黄金循环震荡1784之下仍看空原油警惕下跌一...

      goldOn Monday, the high level of gold fell and broke through1783Key support nearby, under pressure yesterday1784The top to bottom transition has fallen, and the short-term performance is weak, but it was repeatedly tested yesterday1772Nearby support stabilizes, with long-term weak fluctuations that do not break through the low point. The rhythm is easy to switch, so yesterday's US market and early morning test highs1778-79The front line is the boundary between weakness and volatility. If you are weak, you must not trade horizontally for a long time, let alone break through the high. In the afternoon, gold strengthened and broke through the high point in the early morning, but it does not mean that it will strengthen after breaking through the level. Firstly, the high level fell horizontally for four hours to form an upward channel, and at the same time, it fell below the support of the low point in the past week. The rhythm has shifted from strong to volatile, so even if it cannot directly weaken in the short term, it will still fluctuate at high levels in form.



      如果震荡走势，那么昨日高点1784It's crucial not to break through the high, otherwise the daily chart will form an engulfment pattern, the limit1786Nearby, breakthroughs are easy to form continuity, and this position is also crucial for forming top to bottom conversion and front high-pressure system, so today's thinking is to consider1784Continue to observe the volatility in the lower sky. If the European market breaks through the high, retreat and then adjust positions. Key positions below1772Nearby, it is necessary to break down to establish a short-term top shape.






      crude oilOn the one hand, yesterday the European Union responded to negotiations with the United States on the Iran nuclear agreement, and crude oil prices quickly plummeted and fell in the US market. Although the current issue of Iran's nuclear agreement is developing in a positive direction, the negotiation process will definitely involve bargaining to maximize one's own interests. It is not easy to reach a consensus with a simple draft agreement. In addition, the current market supply has not been met, so before the negotiations are settled, I personally believe that crude oil will still be subject to high volatility. From a morphological perspective, yesterday's low was broken, followed by a weak correction in the early morning. The morning rebound was relatively strong, and the four hour technical indicators have already deviated. Therefore, it is not recommended to aggressively sell short. Currently, the upper level is suppressing87.7-8On the front line, I personally suggest that the European market strengthen and fall back87.2-3You can continue to watch more89Above, there is still a possibility of multiple trades in the game.






Gold:1783-84Void1790, Objective1772-73

Crude oil:87.2-3Loss86.2, Objective89