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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!
There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!
Analysis of the latest gold market:
Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(8month10day)欧市早盘,美元指数小幅下跌,目前位于106.25附近。现货黄金短线回升,金价位于1791dollar/盎司附近。本交易日投资者将盯紧美国CPI数据,预计将引发市场剧烈波动。虽然隔夜金价冲高1800关口后受阻,但目前金价上涨态势完好,金价短线仍偏向多头。一方面,地缘局势仍在不断吸引避险买盘支撑金价,美元和美债收益率下降,也利好黄金后市。但从过去多次美国CPI数据出炉后的行情走势来看,即使通胀数据强于市场预期,市场对美联储激进加息的预期升温,金价都是快速下探后震荡走高,因为长期以来,市场一直视黄金为抵御通货膨胀的工具,通胀高企会增加黄金的吸引力,投资者需要提防“历史重演”。而且需要提醒的是,目前市场预计美国7monthCPIThe annual rate is8.7%,这将低于6Of9.1%,也有望给多头提供机会。
香港时间周三20:30The United States will announce7Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)报告。经济学家预计,美国7monthCPI月率将上涨0.2%Below6Of the month1.3%。 U.S.A7monthCPI同比增幅预计将从6Of the month9.1%lower8.7%。 U.S.A7Monthly CoreCPI月率预计将增长0.5%, with a relatively large increase in growth rate6Of the month0.7%有所下降。预计7Monthly CoreCPIYear-on-year growth6.1%,仍将高于6Of the month5.9%。分析人士指出,假如美国CPI数据不及预期,这可能打击美元,从而推动其它主要货币和金价走强。另一方面,若美国CPI数据高于预期,这将提升市场对美联储在下次会议上大幅加息的预期,美元料展开反弹,从而打击其它主要货币和金价。
黄金技术面分析:昨日黄金基本如预期的承压1790一线居高震荡,下方回撤1783一线,白盘走势基本还是符合预期的,但欧盘时段受美指走势再度表现偏弱的影响,黄金也出现一波走高动作,高点测压至1795一线,虽然走高动能不是很强,且也并未改变日线以及小时图级别整体面临承压的局面,但是给短线操作上还是带来一定的麻烦的。4The hour is still in the process of rising. The key support point for this wave of upward trend is this upward trend line, which has repeatedly pushed up and down, but has never been able to fall below the upward trend line. In terms of technical structure, it has also maintained a fluctuating long position above the trend line. Currently, the support for the trend line is starting to move up1780附近。而随着昨日的启稳回升。
根据目前小时图结构,晚间行情或将继续保持居高震荡,如果出现再度回升也不意外,上方着重关注1800附近压力测试,如果行情能够测压至此,那么日线级别也将再度表现出严重的超买和顶部背离状态,回加重技术的看回修预期。不过目前受美指走势影响,黄金短线看涨情绪略显偏激,即便面临技术承压,可能回撤的空间也不会很大,下方可着重先关注1782-80争夺,如果跌破则再看1775一线争夺,此位得失将影响到日线级别的预期。日线级别也将再度表现出严重的超买和顶部背离状态,回加重技术的看回修预期。不过目前受美指走势影响,黄金短线看涨情绪略显偏激,即便面临技术承压,可能回撤的空间也不会很大,综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上秦泽冉建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期关注1807-1812Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1787-1782一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法,至于具体的进场点和解难时机,请关注秦泽冉将实时给出。
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday(8month10day)International oil prices fell as industry data released overnight showed an unexpected increase in US crude oil inventories last week, indicating potential fluctuations in demand. More market attention is focused on the negotiation of the Iran nuclear agreement, which poses uncertain expectations for whether supply can be expanded. Analysts said, "Oil prices are showing a weak trend." He also added that the United States7There is uncertainty in the expected performance of monthly inflation data, which limits the rebound of oil prices. US inflation data will be available on Wednesday Beijing time20:30Take out the furnace. Due to a significant decrease in gasoline costs, it is expected that the United States7The pace of consumer price increases in the month will slow down, but this will not prevent the Federal Reserve from further raising interest rates significantly in the short term, and economic activity and fuel demand still face suppression. Market analysts say, "Given the still sluggish supply outlook, no matter how much damage the global economic weakness causes to crude oil demand, it is impossible to further significantly suppress oil prices. More attention in the market is focused on negotiations on the Iran nuclear deal, which poses uncertain expectations for expanding supply." Despite concerns from analysts and industry observers that if the global economy falls into recession or high oil prices hinder passenger travel, The demand may waver. But American refiners and pipeline operators expect that,2022Energy consumption will remain strong in the second half of this year.
From a technical perspective, crude oil fluctuates and falls on a daily basis; The rebound of oil prices on the previous trading day was hindered, with a cross star indicating that the selling price above is still strong, and10The daily moving average suppresses oil prices,KDJLow position golden cross obstructed,MACDThe dead cross signal is still continuing, and the short-term rebound can also be explained by the impact of oil prices on8month1Daily low point92.41Confirming the retracement of nearby resistance, we need to be cautious of the risk of further decline in oil prices and continue to pay attention to it2month18Daily low point87.46Nearby support, if it breaks below this support, oil prices may further fall towards80Near the checkpoint, at least test it out1month24Daily low point81.90There is a high possibility of support near the checkpoint. Continue to follow above8month1Daily low point92.40Nearby support, if oil prices can be hindered87.46If there is support nearby and the resistance is broken, there is still a possibility of oil prices bottoming out and increasing short-term bullish signals; Further resistance reference200Daily moving average95.23,21The resistance of the daily moving average is also near this position. If it can be further broken, it will increase the bullish signal of the midline.4Hour level: low level oscillation; Closing of the Bollinger Line track, pay attention to the Bollinger Line track87.64-91.74区域突破情况。该区域的突破可以为短线走势提供进一步指引。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上秦泽冉建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注92.1-92.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below87.2-86.7Frontline support.
I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.
This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.
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