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Dingsheng Jinshi:8.9今日黄金走势分析,多空争夺,高点转阳反...

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——近期哪些消息面将直接影响gold多空走势?——


Tuesday(8month9At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1787.29dollar/Around the ounce, most of the overnight gains were held and approached again55日均线阻力。上一交易日经济数据较少,纽约联储调查显示美国消费者对未来一年和三年的通胀预期大幅下降,美元和美债收益率下跌,给金价提供支撑;不过,给金价提供更多支撑的是地缘政治局势担忧;技术面来看,金价短线看涨信号有所增加,有望震荡试探1800Resistance near the checkpoint.


  本交易日数据和风险事件相对较少,继续关注地缘局势相关消息;重点关注市场对周三将出炉的美国7monthCPI数据的预期变化。


  ——多空形成循环,日内关注高低点区间波动——


  上方压制点较为明显首先是1790一线,其次是高点1794一线,若破位则放量持续走高,若不能有效突破,那么维持区间往返对待,下方支撑1776/70/64是近期走势较为明显的几个点,而多空转换针对目前短周期可参考1780一线区域,价格之上之下多空分界点参考。


  借助周一的行情波动,但是未能实现延续性下探,周五非农下跌,跌幅未能延续,那么非农时段的走势再次回顾来看,较为明显的是低位抗跌在周五尾盘已经有所表现,也是一个较为明显的信号,周一不跌行情很大的成分上是走反弹上行的,所以方向上一旦未能确定好,后市的布局就会陷入被动,而此阶段我们还是多回顾行情走势,在来应对当下的行情走势。


  行情回顾,昨日周一行情走势为主的还是慢涨走高形态,未能延续周五的跌幅预期,周五非农走势先行回落之后未能取得实质性的延续,而是拐头走往返,但是周一的亚盘表现还是相对有回踩的预期,只是到了欧盘时段直接上行未能有持续性回踩的预期,整体走势还是偏向于走反弹,美盘形成延续性走高。而短期触及前期的压制点均有滞涨的预期,日内关注短期的区间往返走势情况。


  ——针对短期的未能延续性走势出现反复折返动作,日内布局注意以下几点——


  黄金走势未能借助消息面而改变趋势方向,而是在消息面之后再次回归前期的趋势结构反弹走势,短期反弹上行触及前期的压制点具备一定的承压,短期关注回踩的力度。


  周一走反弹,那么周二延续性看涨幅持续走高,而短期触及高位呈现一定的承压,日内留意短期的回踩力度,以及欧盘的走势预期,依旧以欧盘的走势方向为主,美盘看延续跟进。


  趋势结构方面,前期的低位反弹走势,未能在非农短期的影响下改变走势方向,而是调整之后继续走阳,所以短期关注多头的持续性,以及上方的空间。


  短期结构以短线为主的参考,上方压制点较为明显首先是1790一线,其次是高点1794一线,若破位则放量持续走高,若不能有效突破,那么维持区间往返对待,下方支撑1776/70/64是近期走势较为明显的几个点,而多空转换针对目前短周期可参考1780一线区域,价格之上之下多空分界点参考。


  总的来说,短期非农之后的跌幅未能延续,那么形成新的走势结构较为明显的是来回波动的几率较大,短期关注关键点即可,维持区间往返对待。


  8.9黄金思路布局,仅供参考:


  1、1780Many, broken1774Loss1790/94!破位持有!


  ——8.9crude oil行情走势分析及操作建议——


  原油昨日下探回升收高,整体维持在上周五的区间内运行,先扬后抑再伴随下探回升,走出了一波过山车式的拉锯震荡,单边力度不足,拉锯震荡当中,从周线和日线来看,目前处于破位颈线后的下行趋势当中,但短线指标还未完全拐头向下,使得短线节奏稍显缓慢,伴随一步一回头的走法,且波动基数大,反弹的基数也不小。日线主趋势保持反弹看空,短线则考验进场点位。


  4小时图二次下探87.0-87.20拉回震荡,重新回到上周五的反弹高点附近,带动4小时布林道开始收口,看弱没有弱势破低,短线节奏转为缓慢震荡下跌。伴随着拉锯修正。弱势行情操作点在亚盘,通常亚盘就是高点,而震荡行情,操作点通常在欧盘或美盘。结合昨日的节奏,短线有点转为震荡的迹象。亚盘的位置可能不那么理想,把操作时间点放到欧盘后。


Crude oil: {1Subpan90.50-90.60先超短线空一个防守91.5target89.30-88.60.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!

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