Guide Metallographer:8.8今日黄金走势分析，今日高抛低吸区间对待

　　goldMessage interpretation:


　　上周五公布的美国7月非农就业增长异常强劲，失业率再次下降，远超市场预期。7月美国新增非农就业52.8Ten thousand people, higher than market expectations25Ten thousand people;7Monthly unemployment rate recorded3.5%Below market expectations3.6%。由于近期美国初请失业金人数频频高于市场预期，叠加美国经济的衰退预期，市场预计7月美国非农就业疲软。但结果是，非农数据大超市场预期。


　　从各行业公共卫生事件前后的就业恢复比率看，建筑、零售、高端服务业(FinanceIT和专业商业服务)等行业均显著高于100%。而低端服务业(休闲酒店业、医疗保健业)则离100%有一定差距，就业尚有修复空间。


　　在强劲的就业数字外，潜在的“工资-通胀”威胁让市场重新开启紧缩预期。美国时薪环比连续3个月向上，“工资-通胀”螺旋担忧加剧。7月美国非农时薪环比录得0.47%, continuous3个月上涨。另外，美联储关注的工资指标ECI同比在2季度继续大幅提高。这意味着，“工资-通胀”螺旋现象很可能已经在美国出现。非农数据公布后，市场上调了美联储的加息预期。联邦基金futures数据显示，非农数据公布后，市场认为9月会议上美联储加息75BP的概率上升至68%。由于鹰派预期再起，8month5day10年期美债利率上行约16BP，美元指数收涨0.78%。


Today's Focus:


　　13:45Switzerland7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment


　　16:30eurozone8monthSentixInvestor confidence index


Technical analysis of gold:


Last week, gold first rebounded, followed by a correction, and then experienced an abnormal upward movement before non agricultural activities. However, on Friday, the non agricultural unexpected beauty triggered a significant rebound in gold. Prior to the unexpected rebound, the daily line closed with a negative line and the weekly line closed with a small positive line. The pressure was measured to10Near the weekly moving average, according to the weekly structure, short-term gains may be temporarily postponed. It is highly likely that there will be some correction adjustments this week, but the space is not expected to be very large. Below, we can focus on5Weekly moving average1750Nearby support.


In terms of daily structure, although the gold trend was a bit messy last week, the structural pattern is still very clear. Thursday's abnormal pull up and pressure measurement60The pressure near the daily line has led to a technical overbought market and a top deviation in technical indicators, which has also made room for the situation of non agricultural banks on Friday. After the non agricultural period, gold significantly retreated and fell back to5Daily line1775Below, although it will eventually close near this level, there is still a clear signal of adjustment at the daily level. There is a possibility that the market will continue to retreat this week, but currently the daily moving average is crossing upwards, so the moving average will also provide some support. Therefore, this week's gold can see the continuation of the recovery, but don't expect too much space. You can pay attention to it below first10Daily line1760Nearby support, if there is a break, then look again1750even to the extent that20Daily line1740Near.


The trend of gold combined with the hourly chart shows a significant pullback in the market after the announcement of non-agricultural products on Friday evening, with a downward trend1765Nearby rebound, but rebound not broken1780Since then, the market has been in a narrow range of sideways fluctuations until now, indicating that the confidence of market bulls has indeed been suppressed, but there have also been counterattacks. Therefore, although there is a need for continued decline in the market this week, it may not be easy to fall. Continue to follow above at the beginning of the week1780-83It is expected that there will not be a high possibility of a breakthrough in the short selling gap. You can continue to follow Friday's low point below1765as well as1760Nearby support testing, looking forward to market breaking1760But don't have too strong expectations, even if it falls, you need to take it step by step. In summary, the guidelines for today's gold operation are as follows: bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish bullish1783-1788Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.


Operational strategy:


On Monday, there was relatively little news and the market was basically volatile. It is expected that1770-1785Interval oscillation, can be operated from low to high altitude


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