Dingsheng Jinshi:8.8今日黄金走势分析，非农意外靓丽，黄金回...

Today is8月第二周，上周整体表现尚可，虽然进场频率不高，但亏损很少。近两周行情实际上主要波动均集中在欧美盘后，白盘波动相对有限，这就是体现我们交易耐心的时候。早盘截止目前总共波动就只有5个点不到，


　　这个时候多空都没有很好的参与机会，我们经常强调的一个观点就是交易要跟猎人一样耐心等待机会，做到出其不意，一击必胜！


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　　上周五晚间，公布了美7月非农数据，此前市场并不看好本次非农数据，结果数据意外大幅增加，就业岗位增至超过疫情前的水平，数据显示，7Monthly increase in non farm employment opportunities52.8Ten thousand, for2月以来最大增幅，给经济已陷入衰退的担忧泼了一盆冷水，报告还显示，薪资继续大幅增长，工时普遍延长，劳动力市场的持续强劲势头可能使美联储有继续大幅加息的空间。gold价格最近曾因认为美联储将从鹰派转向鸽派而反弹，但就业数据显示美国经济强劲，这可能促使美联储更加激进，这对黄金来说不是一个好的消息。


Overall, the impressive non-farm data is supporting the Federal Reserve in the short term9Monthly interest rate hike75The expectation of one basis point has firmly put the Federal Reserve back on its hawkish path, despite the easing of food and energy prices in the coming months and the continued inflation of core prices,9Monthly interest rate increase75A basis point may now be the basic scenario for Federal Reserve officials, which leans towards supporting the US dollar and bearish gold prices in the short term, but the geopolitical situation is relatively tense and is falling behind1750Before the first line of support, it is difficult for gold prices to have significant downward potential in the short term.


Gold Technology Analysis:


Last week, gold first rebounded, followed by a correction, and then experienced an abnormal upward movement before non agricultural activities. However, on Friday, the non agricultural unexpected beauty triggered a significant rebound in gold. Prior to the unexpected rebound, the daily line closed with a negative line and the weekly line closed with a small positive line. The pressure was measured to10Near the weekly moving average, according to the weekly structure, short-term gains may be temporarily postponed. It is highly likely that there will be some correction adjustments this week, but the space is not expected to be very large. Below, we can focus on5Weekly moving average1750Nearby support.


In terms of daily structure, although the gold trend was a bit messy last week, the structural pattern is still very clear. Thursday's abnormal pull up and pressure measurement60The pressure near the daily line has led to a technical overbought market and a top deviation in technical indicators, which has also made room for the situation of non agricultural banks on Friday. After the non agricultural period, gold significantly retreated and fell back to5Daily line1775Below, although it will eventually close near this level, there is still a clear signal of adjustment at the daily level. There is a possibility that the market will continue to retreat this week, but currently the daily moving average is crossing upwards, so the moving average will also provide some support. Therefore, this week's gold can see the continuation of the recovery, but don't expect too much space. You can pay attention to it below first10Daily line1760Nearby support, if there is a break, then look again1750even to the extent that20Daily line1740Near.


The trend of gold combined with the hourly chart shows a significant pullback in the market after the announcement of non-agricultural products on Friday evening, with a downward trend1765Nearby rebound, but rebound not broken1780，其后行情至目前也一直是横盘窄幅震荡状态，这说明市场多头信心属实是遭打压的，但也有反击动作，所以本周行情虽然有延续下跌需要，但可能不会下跌的很轻松。周初上方继续关注1780-83It is expected that there will not be a high possibility of a breakthrough in the short selling gap. You can continue to follow Friday's low point below1765as well as1760Nearby support testing, looking forward to market breaking1760，但也不要抱有太强烈的预期，即便下跌也要一步一步来的。


　　【08.08黄金思路参考】


Gold rebound1778-80一线空，防守1786see1771-64


　　日内首次回落1760-62More, defense1756see1770-75


　　crude oil目前依然维持的低位盘整形态，下方关键支撑就是周五的触底反弹低点87一线，上方关键压制在91.3-4一线，该点位是上周四多次反弹回撤的高点。短期压制已经逐步下移到90.3-5一线，这也是日内首次考虑做空的机会。


　　【08.08原油思路参考】


Crude oil rebound90.3-5Empty, defensive91.2see89.4-88.4


　　原油首次回落87.-87.2More, defense86.5see88-89-90


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as "Golden Net" and "Globalforeign exchange》《汇通网》《中金网》等多家知名财经论坛专业撰稿人，擅长黄金原油白银短中长线操作，投资有风险，入市需谨慎，建议仅供参考；本文鼎盛金师原创，用心写好每一篇分析，传递有价值的投资理念。如有雷同纯属抄袭，读者请擦亮眼甄别，尊重原创