Guide Metallographer:8.5今日黄金走势分析，黄金能否冲破千八关口

In thegoldSilver, a high-risk and high-yield market, is not something that anyone can easily make a fortune by investing casually. It requires a professional analysis team to do a good job in risk control, relying on professional technology and a good mindset to first reduce the loss of principal, and then amplify the process of profits. Mountains are not high, but immortals are clear. Water is not deep, but a dragon is a spirit. I personally believe that the most important aspect of investing is not only the need for a good platform and product, but also the need to meet a competent and responsible mentor. Suggest earning for a while, and thinking for a lifetime! The focus is on thinking, grasping trends, and planning market layout and positions! If your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a Bole to guide you through the maze, a military strategist to help you control the overall situation. One attempt is one opportunity! A choice is a turning point! Buddha has a destiny, I have a heart.


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Interpretation of the Golden News:


Thursday's announcement from the United States to7month30Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week2610000 people, higher than market expectations25.910000 people, the former value is25.610000 people.


　　评论称，美国初请失业金人数小幅上升，接近去年11月以来的最高水平，表明劳动力市场继续放缓。过去几个月，初请失业金人数一直在上升，因为在经济不确定的情况下，几家公司(主要是科技行业)宣布裁员并放缓招聘。随着美联储通过继续加息来遏制数十年来居高不下的通胀，这一趋势可能会继续下去，加息可能会降低对工人的需求。


　　美联储官员美斯特表示，认为9月份我们可能加息75个基点也不是没有道理的；但很有可能是50个基点，我们将以数据为指导。率应该会在今年和明年上半年继续上升；然后我们也许可以停下来，开始降息。就业市场有所降温，但并不普遍。数据仍显示劳动力市场强劲。认为利率应该略高于4%。一旦通胀率回落至接近我们2%的目标，我们就会降息。通胀路径将决定未来的加息规模。衰退风险已经上升。


　　穆迪分析公司经济学家表示，随着能源和食品价格升至前所未有的水平，供应链依然受阻，俄罗斯天然气供应进一步中断的威胁继续存在，欧洲正处于衰退的边缘。如果油气价格持续上涨，导致企业和消费者信心进一步下降，迫使央行采取更积极的措施，欧洲将在2022年第四季度陷入衰退。在这种情况下，预计欧洲GDP将连续四个季度萎缩，然后在2023年第四季度恢复增长。


According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve9Monthly interest rate hike50The probability of a basis point is66.5%Interest rate hike75The probability of a basis point is33.5%； reach11Monthly cumulative interest rate increase75The probability of a basis point is54.9%Accumulated interest rate increase100The probability of a basis point is39.3%Accumulated interest rate increase125The probability of a basis point is5.8%。


Today's Focus:


　　09:30澳洲联储公布货币政策声明


　　14:00Germany6Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment


　　14:00britain7monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment


　　14:45France6Monthly industrial output rate


　　14:45France6Monthly trade account


　　20:30Canada7Monthly Employment Number


　　20:30U.S.A7Monthly unemployment rate


　　20:30U.S.A7Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金昨日小阳KLine flattening, highest rebound1772.50承压，最低回测1754.惯性摔低之后，但持续性回落力度不足，下方主要受到了4小时级别的上升趋势线支撑，短线进入多空选择当中。日线自此前1788承压后，目前在相对的中性位置，冲高缺力度，回落则还没失守关键支撑，短线进入胶着阶段，且均线指标处于上有阻力，下有支撑的夹角区间运行，或许需要时间拉锯震荡。消息方面：圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周三表示，美联储将坚定不移地提高利率，使处于四十年高位的通胀率回到2%的目标。另一项数据显示，6月美国工厂订单稳健增长，企业设备支出终值被上修，表明尽管利率上升，但制造业仍具备潜在实力。


Gold4小时随着昨日的横向整理，将趋势线的支撑横向上移至1754附近，昨日下探后仍收稳在上升趋势线之上，且布林道开始收口，目前也是布林道下轨的支撑处。局部进入收缩。短期上升趋势线是关键，若能守稳，那么后市仍有进一步走高动能，现在的回撤则是当作短线多头的修正。反之若失守，那么1788则会成为C浪顶部。目前争夺相对还是比较激烈，加上均线指标凌乱发散，暂时走不出单边，更加加剧了震荡的频率。短线伴随来回。日内短线操作点位为先，方向其次，盘中结合形态来灵活应对，超级短线卡区间多空都有机会。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注1800-1805Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1780-1775Frontline support.


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