Guide Metallographer:8.4今日黄金走势分析，金价日内震荡上行

　　goldMessage interpretation:


Thursday(8month4day)，国际金价上涨，受美债收益率回落支撑。但谨慎的投资者等待明天即将公布的美国7月非农就业报告，以获取有关美联储加息立场的更多线索。美联储鹰派政策加速了对就业机会创造过程中受到严重干扰的可能。


DealersGoldSilver CentralManaging DirectorBrian Lan表示：“地缘局势紧张之际，大多数投资者持观望态度。不少人认为，利率上升使得持有美元可能比持有黄金更有意义。因此我预计，金价在短期内将呈区间震荡。”


　　一些美联储决策者本周表示，美联储仍将坚决提升利率至更显着抑制经济活动水平，以打压自1980年代以来最严重通胀。在美联储官员发表鹰派言论后，美元指数大幅反弹，限制了黄金上涨空间。


　　美联储进一步收水预期继续引发对经济衰退的担忧，这对传统避险黄金来说是个好兆头。但隔夜公布的美国7monthISMNon manufacturingPMI意外回升，受到消费者从商品支出转向服务业支出的支撑，非制造业物价指数创2021year2月以来新低，支撑了经济并未陷入衰退的观点。


　　现在焦点转向周五(8month5day)即将公布的美国7月非农就业数据。科技巨头们开始讨论在年内剩余时间里停止招聘活动，这将导致就业机会急剧下降。


　　投资者估计7月份劳动力市场增加非农岗位25万个工作岗位，增幅低于6Of the month37.2万个，可能会推动金价大幅上涨，也将更清楚地说明美联储为对抗顽固的高通胀而采取的激进紧缩政策。


　　尽管美国经济持续放缓，但美联储无意停止加息。不可否认，美联储鹰派政策迫使企业参与者在审查投资机会时须过滤额外杂音。在投资新项目之前，公司会进行大量的头脑风暴，这加速了对就业机会创造过程中受到严重干扰的可能。


Today's Focus:


　　16:00欧洲央行公布经济公报


　　19:00Bank of England Announces Interest Rate Resolutions and Meeting Minutes


　　19:30U.S.A7Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs


　　19:30Bank of England Governor Bailey Holds a Press Conference


　　20:30From the United States to7month30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week


　　20:30U.S.A6Monthly trade account


　　22:00U.S.A7New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index


　　24:00美联储梅斯特就货币政策发表讲话


Technical analysis of gold:


　　黄金昨日小阳KLine flattening, highest rebound1772.50承压，最低回测1754.惯性摔低之后，但持续性回落力度不足，下方主要受到了4小时级别的上升趋势线支撑，短线进入多空选择当中。日线自此前1788承压后，目前在相对的中性位置，冲高缺力度，回落则还没失守关键支撑，短线进入胶着阶段，且均线指标处于上有阻力，下有支撑的夹角区间运行，或许需要时间拉锯震荡。4小时随着昨日的横向整理，将趋势线的支撑横向上移至1754附近，昨日下探后仍收稳在上升趋势线之上，且布林道开始收口，目前也是布林道下轨的支撑处。局部进入收缩。短期上升趋势线是关键，若能守稳，那么后市仍有进一步走高动能，现在的回撤则是当作短线多头的修正。反之若失守，那么1788则会成为C浪顶部。目前争夺相对还是比较激烈，加上均线指标凌乱发散，暂时走不出单边，更加加剧了震荡的频率。短线伴随来回。日内短线操作点位为先，方向其次。盘中结合形态来灵活应对。综上所述，黄金今日思路上指南金师建议以低多为主，上方短期关注1795-1800Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1760-1755Frontline support.


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