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goldMessage interpretation:
Wednesday(8month3day)，黄金价格小幅下跌，交易员和投资者的风险偏好在本周中略有上升。美国国债收益率上升也抑制了本周对黄金的买盘兴趣。
American Association for Supply Management(ISM)On Wednesday, it was stated that,7月份非制造业PMIThe index is56.7, higher than6Of the month55.3Also higher than expected53.5. Meanwhile, the United States6Monthly factory order rate recorded2%Create this year1A new high since the beginning of the month.
有机构分析称，美国服务业7The month unexpectedly rebounded due to strong order growth, as well as easing supply bottlenecks and price pressures, supporting the view that the economy has not fallen into recession(Despite a decline in output in the first half of the year). Prior to this unexpected rebound, a manufacturing survey released by the American Association for Supply Management on Monday showed a mild slowdown in factory activity last month. This is related to S&P Global7月份服务业萎缩的调查结果形成鲜明对比。库存的剧烈波动和与混乱的全球供应链相关的贸易逆差是主要原因。不过，随着美联储大幅收紧货币政策以抗击通胀，整体经济增长势头有所降温，但服务业活动正受到从商品支出转向服务业支出的支持。
圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周三表示，美联储将继续加息，直到看到通胀正在下降的有力证据。
这位美联储官员说，随着美联储继续与上世纪80年代初以来最高的通胀水平作斗争，他预计今年还会加息1.5个百分点左右。
“我认为，通胀可能在更长时间内保持在高位，才能获得证据，证明通胀确实在各方面都出现好转，并以令人信服的方式下降，而不是在某个地方下降一点点，”布拉德说道。
继续加息的消息与本周其他美联储官员的说法一致，包括克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特、芝加哥联储主席埃文斯和旧金山联储主席戴利。这三位美联储官员周二都表示，抗击通胀的斗争远未结束，还需要进一步收紧货币政策。
戴利日内发表鹰派讲话，称市场对美联储明年降息的预期超前了；认为在年底达到3.4%的利率对我们来说是一个合理的水平；不认为从现在开始加息是“限制性的”，认为在下次会议上利率的下限将更有可能达到3%Instead of2.5%；将利率维持在高水平的时间可能延长至超过6个月，甚至是一年；我们现在甚至还没有达到中性利率；在9Monthly interest rate increase50个基点是合理的，但如果我们看到通胀一直飙升，那么加息75个基点或许更合适。
与美联储相关的隔夜指数掉期显示，美联储9Monthly interest rate hike75The probability of one basis point is50%。
Today's Focus:
16:00欧洲央行公布经济公报
19:00Bank of England Announces Interest Rate Resolutions and Meeting Minutes
19:30U.S.A7Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs
19:30Bank of England Governor Bailey Holds a Press Conference
20:30From the United States to7month30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
20:30U.S.A6Monthly trade account
22:00U.S.A7New York Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index
24:00美联储梅斯特就货币政策发表讲话
Technical analysis of gold:
随着日线的探高收低，日内短线还会延续走震荡，由于此前连阳上升之后，首次转阴，这波转阴是结束反弹还是回踩蓄势后重新反转向上有待确认。还需要多加几个交易日的收盘情况来决定。4小时完成了ABC浪的反弹，这是下跌趋势中的反弹小三浪，昨日形成冲高回落，C浪高点回撤，日内回踩会接近上升趋势线，也就是4小时的多头支撑线，两个上涨浪形反弹，使得短线走多，日内此根上升线是关键，此前离得比较远，不好判定，随着昨日的冲高回落，日内亚盘就会逼近上升线，若是失守且收盘在趋势线之下，则趋势重新转空，反之下探后能够启稳，那么短线还将继续延伸反弹。并且存在反转向上的可能。均线指标来看，昨日触及到了270单位均线承压，目前中期均线还在大周期均线之下，这也是昨日强调在1786上方价格有较大的冲高回落风险。今日短线相对就比较分化，随着昨日的回落，小时图还会适当延续，综上所述，黄金今日思路上指南金师建议以区间震荡为主，上方短期关注1778-1783Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1752-1747Frontline support.
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