Qin Zeran: Current price layout of gold and crude oil, analysis of the latest trends, and real-time operational suggestions...

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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!

There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(8month3day)Spot gold rose due to a pullback in the US dollar index, but the upward pace of gold prices in the future may be constrained. Some Federal Reserve officials on Tuesday(8month2day)Expressed that the decision-making level remains firm and "united" and will not relax in order to suppress1980The tightening policy of the highest level of inflation since the s, although it will bring interest rates to a level that significantly suppresses economic activity. The US dollar index closed sharply higher overnight0.9%. Chicago Fed Chairman Evans said he hopes the central bank can slow down the pace of interest rate hikes for the rest of this year, following unusually large rate hikes in the past two meetings. But he doesn't rule out9month20Solstice21The possibility of another large-scale interest rate hike at the next meeting of the Federal Reserve on the day of. Cleveland Fed Chairman Maester reiterated that US inflation has not cooled at all, and the Federal Reserve is committed to controlling inflation. And the US economy has not fallen into recession, the US labor market has not slowed down, and currently looks very healthy. Therefore, gold prices are cautiously bullish, as the market previously underestimated the Fed's determination to fight inflation. However, in the absence of strong economic data support, the gold market is unlikely to experience significant selling pressure, and the upcoming non farm data this week will determine the medium-term outlook for the US dollar.

American Association for Supply Management(ISM)On Wednesday, it was stated that,7monthPMI'target='_blank'>Non manufacturingPMIThe index is56.7, higher than6Of the month55.3Also higher than expected53.5. Meanwhile, the United States6Monthly factory order rate recorded2%Create this year1A new high since the beginning of the month. According to institutional analysis, the US service industry7The month unexpectedly rebounded due to strong order growth, as well as easing supply bottlenecks and price pressures, supporting the view that the economy has not fallen into recession(Despite a decline in output in the first half of the year). Prior to this unexpected rebound, a manufacturing survey released by the American Association for Supply Management on Monday showed a mild slowdown in factory activity last month. This is related to S&P Global7The survey results of the service industry shrinking in the month form a sharp contrast. The sharp fluctuations in inventory and the trade deficit related to the chaotic global supply chain are the main reasons. However, as the Federal Reserve significantly tightens monetary policy to combat inflation, the overall economic growth momentum has cooled, but service sector activity is being supported by a shift from commodity spending to service sector spending. St. Louis Fed Chairman Brad stated on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates until there is strong evidence that inflation is decreasing.

Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold finally rose and fell as expected, and the price suppressed at the four hour annual line, which is consistent with the previous wave1878Down by a rhythm, the daily chart shows a mid shade line with an upper shadow, which matches yesterday's8KTurning point, short-term periodic top rise, regardless of whether it can reach a new high in the future, a wave of correction is needed in the short term50Position, so continue to grasp the high altitude today and hit the European plate1770.5The highest point, the lowest drop1760At present, it seems that at 6:4 pm, a small negative line will be collected when changing the line. However, the lower line of the hour chart has not been broken, so we still need to pay attention to it in the evening1770The situation of breaking the position here is because this is the online version of the daily chart. Yesterday, we received a report of a long upside down hammer with a negative headKLine, this is the obvious short-term pressure signal, just right1680Pull up to1788According to the intensity, it is almost the same as the previous two times. So, the next step is to oscillate repeatedly around a certain range. Let's focus on it below10average1743Above, the first touch will provide some support.

Gold hour line level: overnight consecutive falls and breaks, and continues to penetrate after the early morning. If it rises early today, it will be bearish again in the afternoon or in the European market; The first entry point to choose is50Dividing resistance, also at the midpoint of the hour line1770First line, followed by1775（618Dividing resistance), the limit is1780Down (at the back pressure of the channel), focus on the target support1753-1750Several channel support points can also be considered as the starting point for pushing a certain point into the air in the early stage; Additionally, when the price pierces1753Later, it is expected thatmacdIt will enter a state of bottom and back relaxation, which is prone to bottoming out and pulling up. At that time, it is not advisable to chase the sky again, but to wait for a lower level. The next prediction is mainly the oscillation within the range; In summary, Qin Zeran suggested that in today's gold trading strategy, the main focus should be on a pullback and long selling, supplemented by a rebound and short selling, with short-term attention from above1775-1780Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1754-1749Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas. As for the specific entry point and timing of settlement, please pay attention to Qin Zeran's firm offer and it will be provided in real time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday(8month3day)International oil prices have weakened, and the market is concerned that a slowdown in global economic growth will hit fuel demand. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners(OPEC+)A policy meeting will be held later in the day to determine future production.OPEC+It may be necessary to increase oil production to avoid overheating in the market, as the United States has previously focused onOPEC+Apply pressure to increase production. The focus of the oil market this week isOPEC+Meeting, this should keep prices fluctuating to a certain extent untilOPECDecision of its partners9Monthly production.OPEC+Not even close to meeting their previously set production targets, so even if they announce9A slight increase in production in the month may also support oil prices. American Petroleum Institute(API)The latest data shows that as of7month29During the current week, US crude oil inventories increased216.510000 barrels, while analysts had previously expected a decrease46.7Ten thousand barrels, which reinforces the pessimistic view of demand. Official US Energy Agency(EIA)The weekly inventory report will be released on Wednesday Beijing time22:30Announcement.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil continued to decline yesterday, with the daily line closing negative again and breaking through the neckline again, but the closing price is still above, and there is still competition in the short term. Yesterday's highest rebound98.46After the first line is under pressure, the back measurement reaches92.45Low position, neck line contention point92.80.The tail end is still on top. We still have to compete today. If we can close today and tomorrow92.80Below. Only by breaking the position can it be established. At present, the frequency of washing dishes is increasing in the short term, and recently, it has been accompanied by a significant amount of backdraft washing after repeated testing of the neck line.4The hour chart is currently at the down track position. If the short line is still fluctuating, then the down track processing should be at the point where the short line is long. Of course, it is not ruled out that there is a possibility of breaking the limit. After repeatedly rising and falling before falling, there is a possibility of potential breaking the limit. Therefore, there is a differentiation in the short term. If breaking the limit, it is a unilateral decline that opens up space, while if not breaking, it will continue to fluctuate. At present, there is a slight divergence between the long and short positions. If the European market stabilizes above yesterday's low, it will experience short-term volatility and rebound, while if it fails, it will be bearish. In summary, in terms of crude oil operations today, Qin Zeran suggested that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by going long by stepping back, with short-term attention from above94.5-95.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below89.3-88.8Frontline support.

I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.

This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.