Dingsheng Jinshi:7.27晚间黄金走势分析，美联储决议今晚公布，...

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　　今天晚上我们将迎来本月度最重要的数据——美联储将公布利率决议及政策声明，目前市场预计美联储将加息75个基点，使联邦基金利率升至2.25%to2.50%The target interval.


　　不过这还不是最关键的，大家还需要关注的是鲍威尔随后的讲话，今年快速加息后，经济出现衰退的概率越来越大，美联储是否会因此放慢9月加息的节奏也是重要看点。


　　这种声音并不是空穴来风，就在昨天，国际货币基金组织IMFtake2022年全球经济增长预测下调至3.2%，全球通胀率预期上调至8.3%。IMF认为，经济衰退的风险在2023年尤为突出，由于通货膨胀加剧和金融环境收紧，美国和欧洲的经济增长将降至接近零的水平。此外，该组织首席经济学家警告称，世界“可能很快就会徘徊在衰退的边缘”。要知道这已经是该机构第三次下调了，可见形势之紧迫。


　　除了今天的利率决议外，明天晚上美国将公布二季度的GDP数据，一季度是-1.6%，如果这次再出现负值，那就坐实了衰退传言，官方再不给说法，会加剧市场恐慌！


　　其实现在市面上有一种声音，认为这次加息是今年的最后一次，我们也不用讨论这想法对不对，先看看明天的GDP至少能揣摩出个一二三。


　　7.27eveninggoldTrend analysis:


　　回到大家关注的黄金方面，数据前波动率急剧降低，每天10美金上下，不温不火。而且很重要的支撑1713一直没有跌破，显得金价走势稍强。


　　目前距离上周低点1680还有30多美金，以过往利率决议的波动区间来看，大概率今天破不了新低的。如果鲍威尔讲话又比较鸽，不排除黄金会走买预期卖事实的行情。


　　即要么直接涨，要么向下扫一下盘，再V型拉起。两种走法，但方向一致。


　　具体到操作上，大家可以根据自己的仓位情况，到时候选择多单直接进场或者分批加仓。


　　下方支撑1713--1700Resistance1737--50


　　crude oilLatest market analysis:


Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday7month27At the beginning of the Japanese market, Meiyou Trading was trading on95.54dollar/桶附近，油价周二下跌近1%，受累于美国释放原油储备，同时国际货币基金组织对经济前景持悲观态度，下调全球经济预期;另外，猴痘疫情全球蔓延也为空头助力;日内交易或更多受到晚间EIA数据的影响。日内重点关注美国6月耐用品订单月率初值、美国6月批发库存月率初值、EIAdata;Thursday2:00发布美联储利率决议、2:30美联储主席鲍威尔讲话。


　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日先扬后抑，先惯性探高冲破98.0Platform high point, highest touch99.0Under pressure in the region, the US market still fell and closed lower during the trading period, resulting in a small negative daily harvestKLine, forming a high sounding and falling back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Daily Harvest Small YinKLine, forming a surge and fall back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.


Crude oil4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Although there was a rebound at the beginning of the week. but4The overall operation of the hour is still in the downward channel, but the fluctuation base is large, which makes the amplitude of the downward channel relatively large. Currently4Looking down at the lower track first, relying on99.0Create a new platform defense point, with the down track position still in place92.80-92.0.多空胶着的位置，短期还会伴随来回拉。综合来看，原油今日操作思路上鼎盛金师建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注97.9-98.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.2-93.7Frontline support.


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!