Dingsheng Jinshi:7.27今日黄金走势分析，美联储决议来袭，多空...

7.27todaygoldAnalysis of the latest market trend:


　　昨日黄金整体波幅不大，价格围绕1720上下震荡，全球经济衰退预期、地缘局势紧张、美债收益率下降，给黄金提供了一些支撑，但美元守住布林线中轨后反弹，令价格承压。市场目前都在等待美盘时段的美联储利率决议，预期美联储将加息75个基点，有数据显示加息100个基点的概率仅为24%，需重点关注利率决议的鹰鸽倾向，如果美联储主席鲍威尔可能为9Monthly interest rate hike50Basis points or75个基点做好铺垫，黄金短线仍有进一步下行风险，但还需留意美联储对经济衰退的观点和态度，若多次提出经济衰退，则有望给金价提供探底回升的机会。


　　需要提醒的是，美联储利率决议前，市场还将迎来美6月耐用品订单月率初值，该数据对黄金价格的影响力还比较大，目前市场预计环比下降0.4%，5Monthly growth0.8%，该数据预期略微利好金价；如果数据差于预期，则有望给金价提供一些上涨动能。如果意外大幅好于预期，则短线料将拖累黄金价格。目前市场情绪对衰退的担忧占据了主导地位，如果美联储议息会议尘埃落定，没有意外的话，可能对未来黄金价格构成支撑。


　　黄金价格自上周探底回升以来，并未表现出太大的波动，价格始终维持在低位保持区间震荡的走势。日线级别，布林带逐渐收口，价格暂时受到布林中轨的压制，位于中轨下方横盘整理，昨日价格小幅冲高后回落，整个交易日走势平淡。4小时，布林带走平，价格运行于中轨和下轨之间，短线走势上并没有一个明确的方向，市场也在等待晚间的利率决议，小时图上，昨日黄金两度回撤至预期支撑1715-13区域，虽然支撑有效，但是表现出的上涨欲望却不是很强，且此前上方也并未触及预期的压力位，小时图技术结构也呈现下倾状态，虽然整体偏向横盘，但均线交叉向下，短线结构重心有所下移，一定程度上会加大行情下破一次的风险，那么在价格没有走出震荡区间之前，暂时区间思路去操作，日内黄金下方继续还是关注1715-12区间下沿支撑，做好可能跌破此支撑的心理预期，但是考虑到明凌晨美联储利率决定的影响，日内对于看空也停留在看，莫要伸手参与，日内的操作风险还是非常大的，主动选择规避为宜。


Operational strategy:


　　①日内下方再度回撤1713/12附近，激进可再尝试一次极轻仓短多，仅限白盘时段，严格设止损1709下方，目标依旧仅看1717-20即做减仓改保本止损，可保留部分持单搏明凌晨事件，但务必建立在获利后减仓改保本止损的基础上。


　　②日内短线思路可能会偏空一些，但操作上的难度和风险也极大，如果白盘测压1720附近，激进可尝试一次极轻仓短空，严格设止损1723Above, look down at the target1715-12区域即减仓改保本止损，剩余持单在带好保本止损的前提下再去搏明凌晨事件行情。


　　③原则上今日白盘以及晚盘时段，不做任何参与为宜，主动规避重大事件前市场情绪高度紧张可能带来的异常波动风险，若要参与，也务必认清当前存在的风险，务必仅以极轻仓尝试，切莫对风险一无所知。


　　crude oilTechnical analysis:


Yesterday, crude oil rose first and then fell, and inertial exploration broke through first98.0Platform high point, highest touch99.0Under pressure in the region, the US market still fell and closed lower during the trading period, resulting in a small negative daily harvestKLine, forming a high sounding and falling back. The daily line is still in a downward trend, mainly due to the repeated support of the short-term neckline. Reflected in the short form, it is a back and forth sawing.4The hour chart impacted the upper track of the Bollinger Road and fell back under pressure, closing at the middle track. Today, there are signs of a drop in the lower track in the short term. Although there was a rebound at the beginning of the week. but4The overall operation of the hour is still in the downward channel, but the fluctuation base is large, which makes the amplitude of the downward channel relatively large. Yesterday, after exploring the high98.60-98.70Short selling on the first line is almost an intraday high, with a large volatility base. There are opportunities for ultra short term long bearish positions, with a focus on entry positions. at present4Looking down at the lower track first, relying on99.0Create a new platform defense point, with the down track position still in place92.5。多空胶着的位置，短期还会伴随来回拉锯。综上所述总结：今日原油操作思路上建议以区间震荡为主，上方短期关注98.0-99.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below93.0-92.0Frontline support.


Crude Oil Strategy: Recommendations96.30-96.80Empty, stop loss98.20, Objective93.20；


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!