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不要对过去念念不忘,也不要去预测未来,前者对你无益,后者是徒劳的,预测是主观的,市场是客观的。你要做的是就是完善交易系统,来应对各种变化!一个失败的交易者之所以失败,原因之一就是他希望抓住市场上的每一次机会,而一个成功的交易者只需要抓住一两次机会足矣。市场唯一不变就是一直在变,一个成熟的交易者会坚守自己的原则,并且完善自己的交易系统会一直坚持到底.
“成功路上并不拥挤,因为坚持的人不多”。只有坚持了,我们才知道,这一路上有多少事情需要实干,有多少东西需要学习。随着时间的推移,任何一条通往成功路上,同行者会越来越少。把“胜者为王”一词改为“剩者为王”也许更能准确地表达成功与坚持的关系。成功路上需要坚持,坚持才会成功,最终能走到终点的人也许并不多。
萧毅舟——以下是日内goldcrude oilDaily trend analysis and specific operational strategies
Analysis of the trend of gold market; Tuesday(7month26day),国际金价上涨,因美元指数继续承压,但由于投资者避免在美联储大幅加息之前大举押注,金价仍运行在窄幅震荡区间。如果美联储因担心经济衰退而开始缩减其鹰派加息路径,黄金作为避险资产的吸引力将回潮。但美元在最近两个交易日止跌,受益于投资者在看到一些疲弱的数据后退出股市。有分析师表示:我们尚未真正看到大量坚定看多或看空仓位,现在最重要的是等待美联储政策声明。不过,过去两周美元回落金价企稳反弹,这表明投资者对他们预期的利率前景走势感到满意。人们普遍预计,美联储将在周三(7month27day)政策会议结束时提升联邦基金利率区间75个基点。如此大幅度的加息将有效终结大流行时期对经济的支持措施。此前公布的美国6月份消费者价格指数同比上涨9.1%, creating over40年来新高,市场一度预计美联储本月加息100个基点。然而,随后公布的一些经济数据表现疲软,交易员们下调了上述预期。美元6月份以来大幅升至,导致美国出口业务大幅下降,企业盈利下滑,首次申请失业救济人数已达到7Month high251000人。在科技巨头谷歌暂停招聘后,Meta、Spotify和其他科技巨头都支持裁员。这可能导致美国7月非农就业数据疲软。同样,沃尔玛大幅下调利润预期以及对未来消费者支出减少的担忧是助长避险情绪的额外催化剂。此外,全球评级巨头穆迪下调欧洲和美国增长预测,对风险偏好造成额外负担。这些都将利好金价。 黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日承压回落,先扬后抑,先行摸高1736.08dollar|盎司。探高不破上周五的高点,最终承压走回落且收在低位,收回1720之下。日线收盘一根小阴K线,日线伴随双阳反弹之后转阴回落,弱势反弹不过三,也就是反弹的持续性不足。属于弱势修正的手法,随着反复的摸高回落已带动日线中轨的压力由1746慢慢下移至1741.50.昨日首次转换回落,今明两日若能进一步收低,那么下方1700就再难守住,经过反弹修正后的再下跌,反弹是为了蓄势破低。目前正处于修正蓄势阶段,节奏上可能相对缓慢,反映到日内短线就是迂回反复。4小时处于反弹修正确认高点当中,首个阻力目前在1739-1736一带有所压制,下一个阻力则是1746-1752一带。结合浪形的反弹空间,目前在构造高点,是在1739此处承压后转换下跌,还是再伴随一个小冲高后承压下跌,周初在确认阻力区域。后市看跌依旧,只是这波反弹的终结在哪里的问题,单从4小时来看不算明显。日线方向有初步承压之迹象。1小时图二次探高承压,没有进一步破高延续反弹,小时图有所压制成功,今日若能进一步走低,则下一目标就是1700下方,考虑到日线第三个交易日领先转跌,今日操作思路维持高空波段看回1700下方。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上萧毅舟建议上方短期关注1735-1740Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1710-1705Frontline support. Analysis of crude oil market trend: 原油技术面分析:原油昨日先抑后扬,短线回升收高,日线在触及颈线之后再反弹收成小阳KLine. The daily line is still vying for the neck line to determine whether the construction of this double top structure can be successful or not. After the short line approaches, it is relatively circuitous and repetitive. dayKThe line is also accompanied by the cycle of yin and yang. At the same time, it is also close to the support of the annual line. Before forming a unilateral trend, there will still be online and offline trading around the year. Increase the range of short line sawing. 4The hour is still running in the downward channel for the time being, and it is also a downward step, the second highest point105.20.It is also the defensive point for this wave of downward steps, and due to the large fluctuation base, the amplitude of this step is also relatively large. Slowly oscillate downwards in the back and forth sawing. The short-term operation relies on the secondary high point of the step as the critical point to rebound high in the sky, but it has already been thrown away for a long distance. This will further test the short-term entry points within the day, otherwise it is easy to be washed.1The hour chart is currently in98.0There is a slight pressure on the lower side, combined with last Friday, which has been under pressure several times. We still need to pay attention today98.0的压制,亚欧盘不突破,短线还会在此位之下承压回落。综上所述金晟富总结:今日原油操作思路上建议以回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期关注99.0-99.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below95.6-95.8Frontline support. I will prompt you on the specific operation strategy in the disk and pay attention to it in a timely manner. The recent market turbulence has been significant, with opportunities and risks coexisting. Control risks and increase profits. Reference for crude oil operation strategy: Empty order strategy: Above the rebound of crude oil99.0-99.3Short selling in batches nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.7US dollars, look at the target98.0-97.0Nearby; Dislocation96.0Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!) Multi order strategy: Below the crude oil pullback95.8-96.0Nearby batch long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.7USD, target97.5-98.5Nearby; Dislocation99.5Nearby. (Suggested for reference only, investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market!)
Yizhou Case Sharing:
Ms. Fang from Shanghai used to have a list with other mentors,5In less than a week, Wanmei Gold had completely lost money, and Ms. Fang, who was afraid of repeating the same mistakes, observed the strategies of Xiao Yizhou's daily articles and added Xiao Yizhou to the experience group. After careful examination, she finally made up her mind to join the gold5000The US dollar experience warehouse joined Xiao Yizhou's real market camp and seized the opportunity. After the major market during the Non Agricultural Week, the funds nearly doubled in a week2倍,非农周过后,行情也更加明朗,至今已成为我忠实的粉丝。人生就是如此,新手怕行情波动过大,老手怕行情震荡,世上没有两片一模一样的叶子,但是有一模一样的盈利,有一模一样的操作,有的人同样的点位做不同方向的单子,那么结果定是截然不同,与其说是这个市场,这个行情折磨你,不如说自己的经验不够,千万别灰心,没有谁永远不幸,千万别气馁,没有谁一帆风顺,经历过牛市,感受过熊市,接受过暴跌,跨越过暴涨,没有什么比这更可以让你变的强大,强大是需要积累,盈利同样也是,你不会永远亏损,别人也不会一直盈利,你需要明白的是,如何在这个市场生存!你若愿来,我必帮你!
There are no unsuccessful investments, only unsuccessful operations. After reading this article, you are lucky because you have met me. I also want to say that you are unfortunate, because you may also miss me; I don't want you to find me before50Wan has become5Wan, what I want to see is50After Wan found me, we will become together80Ten thousand,100Wan!
writing/萧毅舟(macd1008611)
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