Chen Jiazhe: The latest price trend forecast for gold and crude oil in Europe and America today with operational suggestions

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Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday(7month26day)Asian market intraday, goldfutures小幅上涨，期金现报1722dollar/盎司附近。投资者为本周晚些时候预期将加息75Preparing by basis points, the US Treasury yield slightly increased, putting pressure on gold prices, but the market's wait-and-see sentiment is also strong as the US second quarter is expected to arrive this weekGDPand7monthPCE数据。不过，地缘局势依然紧张，市场对美国经济衰退的预期挥之不去，美元周一在逾两周低位附近徘徊，，短线来看，没有仍有进一步回调风险，考虑到地缘局势依然紧张，金价处于相对低位，如果能够守住1700关口支撑，则后市仍留有震荡上涨的机会。整体来看，在失守10Daily moving average1715.5前，技术面略微偏向多头。基本面方面，利多因素略多一点，在美元震荡回调之际，黄金的避险买需仍有望给金价提供支撑，但临近美联储决议，市场观望情绪会越来越浓，料将限制交投空间，投资者需要留意市场预期的变化。

　　美联储计划将于北京时间7month28日凌晨公布7月份利率决议结果，当前已经进入静默期，暂无更多信号传递市场。不过，在6monthCPI数据“爆表”后，外界认为美联储加大加息幅度到100个基点的概率陡增。但随后美联储官员纷纷“灭火”，发声支持继续保持加息75Basis points. before 7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点已被市场充分预期，主流预期形成后，加息落地不会对市场造成大幅波动。但若加大幅度，则需额外考虑超激进紧缩力度可能对经济增长和金融市场带来的冲击。考虑到美联储已进入静默期，美联储官员此前并没有向市场明确传递加息100个基点的信号，也暗示了除非出现重大变化，不然7月份会议超预期加息100个基点的可能性不大。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日承压回落，先扬后抑，先行摸高1736.08dollar|盎司。探高不破上周五的高点，最终承压走回落且收在低位，收回1720之下。日线收盘一根小阴K线，日线伴随双阳反弹之后转阴回落，弱势反弹不过三，也就是反弹的持续性不足。属于弱势修正的手法，随着反复的摸高回落已带动日线中轨的压力由1746慢慢下移至1741.50.昨日首次转换回落，今明两日若能进一步收低，那么下方1700就再难守住，经过反弹修正后的再下跌，反弹是为了蓄势破低。目前正处于修正蓄势阶段，节奏上可能相对缓慢，反映到日内短线就是迂回反复。

Gold4小时处于反弹修正确认高点当中，首个阻力目前在1739-1736一带有所*，下一个阻力则是1746-1752一带。结合浪形的反弹空间，目前在构造高点，是在1739此处承压后转换下跌，还是再伴随一个小冲高后承压下跌，周初在确认阻力区域。后市看跌依旧，只是这波反弹的终结在哪里的问题，单从4小时来看不算明显。日线方向有初步承压之迹象。1小时图二次探高承压，没有进一步破高延续反弹，小时图有所*成功，今日若能进一步走低，则下一目标就是1700下方。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上陈嘉哲建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1736-1741Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1714-1709一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解套时机，请关注陈嘉哲的官微：YJY33388Will be provided in real-time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Tuesday（7month26日）亚市盘初，美油交投于96Near the US dollar; Oil prices rose by more than1.5%，受益于俄罗斯进一步削减通过北溪一号天然气管道输送的天然气供应，受此影响天然气期货大涨。美元略微疲软，股市也在改善，这对石油构成支撑；但对美联储过于激进地加息预期，经济衰退担忧或引发燃料需求可能减弱，油价涨幅有限；目前原油价格稳定，燃料油价格走低导致炼厂利润进一步压缩，市场供应量略显不足，但目前需求整体平淡。国际燃料油库存近期回升明显，需求近期较为平淡。贸易量不足影响船队运行，导致船用油价格近期承压下降有关猴痘相关消息需警惕关注。

Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday, crude oil initially declined and then rose, rebounded in the short term and closed higher. The daily line rebounded after hitting the neckline, resulting in a small positive harvestKLine. The daily line is still vying for the neck line to determine whether the construction of this double top structure can be successful or not. After the short line approaches, it is relatively circuitous and repetitive. dayK线也是伴随着阴阳循环拉锯。同时也靠近了年线的支撑。在未形成单边趋势之前，还会围绕年线上下洗盘。加大短线拉锯幅度。目前4The hour is still running in the downward channel for the time being, and it is also a downward step, the second highest point105.20.It is also the defensive point for this wave of downward steps, and due to the large fluctuation base, the amplitude of this step is also relatively large. Slowly oscillate downwards in the back and forth sawing. The short-term operation relies on the secondary high point of the step as the critical point to rebound high in the sky, but it has already been thrown away for a long distance. This will further test the short-term entry points within the day, otherwise it is easy to be washed.1The hour chart is currently in98.0There is a slight pressure on the lower side, combined with last Friday, which has been under pressure several times. We still need to pay attention today98.0of*，亚欧盘不突破，短线还会在此位之下承压回落。综上所述陈嘉哲总结：原油今日操作思路上建议以回踩做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注100.0-100.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below96.5-96.0Frontline support

Author's message:

The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.

This article is provided by Chen Jiazhe. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Chen Jiazhe provides online solutions, loss recovery, and one-on-one real-time guidanceQQ;2702332902 VX:YJY33388Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.