Guide Metallographer:7.22黄金大幅反弹看涨，市场回落后进多。

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　最新公布数据显示，英国6月季调后零售销售月率录得-0.1%, higher than the previous value-0.8%And the expected value-0.3%. France7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIInitial value recorded49.6Below the previous value51.4And the expected value50.8。 Germany7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIInitial value recorded49.2Below the previous value52和市场预期的50.6。此前德国放松了对公共卫生事件的管控，使得经济获得一定程度的增长。但随着公共卫生事件再度席卷欧洲，能源危机带动通货膨胀，德国经济在2022年首次陷入萎缩。各种不确定因素将继续冲击欧洲各主要发达国家，这也将为市场带来极大的不确定性。

Eurozone7Monthly manufacturing industryPMIInitial value recorded49.6Below the previous value52.1和预期的51。数据创2020year6月以来的新低。欧洲央行调查表示，欧盟区内就业持续增长，市场存在较大不确定性，对经济活动前景感到担忧。分析认为，随着7月份商业活动下滑，部分指标暗示着未来几个月欧盟地区经济将更糟糕。7Of the monthPMI出现收缩，意味着经济以0.1%的季度速度收缩。这使得欧洲央行在接下来的货币政策上将更为谨慎。

　　美元指数在德国PMI数据公布后持续走高，最高上攻至107.37附近。美元指数近期震荡为主，预计震荡格局将在近期打破。黄金亚盘小幅震荡，在昨日大幅反弹后，黄金亚盘以修复指标为主。黄金日内波幅在8美金以内，市场静待新的趋势突破。白银亚盘也是维持小幅震荡，整体表现相对黄金较弱。

Focus on spot gold market today:

Eurozone7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值；

United States7monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值；

American goodsfuturesTrading Committee(CFTC)公布周度持仓报告。

　　指南金师提别提醒：来到本周最后一个交易日的市场基本面不算特别活跃，晚间只有制造业数据值得稍加关注，考虑到欧央行昨晚加息后以及下周美联储即将要再度加息75个基点，所以预计日内市场还是会继续发酵和预热为主。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金昨日先持续震荡回落，主要原因在于市场对下周美联储利率决定可能打压黄金的预期担忧，同时黄金自身失守1700后导致消极情绪蔓延，不过晚间欧银超预期加息，使得黄金间接得到利好，多头也因此出现预期的报复性补涨动作，上方高点测压至1720一线，日线收得一带有下影线的中阳。

　　日线结构上，昨日阳线完全包络前一日阴线，贯穿突破5日线，测压至10日线附近，如此形态在技术上基本可以视作为短线反弹信号。技术指标上，底部背离信号也得到释放，短线行情延续看回弹的概率还是很大的，后期行情很有可能会回弹测压20日线附近，同时也是前期交易高点位压力，行情回弹至此后，大概率再选择震荡，以等待美联储利率决定影响。日内下方关注5Daily line1710附近回撤，只要行情不收回在1710下方，那么基本可以延续1-2个交易日的回弹，上方测压1730、1740even to the extent that1750都还是有可能的。

　　结合小时图走势，隔夜行情拉升突破1700后，整体表现出的状态也是偏强的，符合预期的报复性补涨需要，目前行情在17300一线有承压也是技术需要，日内下方可先关注1710附近回踩测试，主要支撑测可能要看1705-00一带，只要行情不落回1700以下，基本可继续看回弹。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，下方关注1705-1710USD support, following from above1735-1740US dollar resistance.

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