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Always stay on the front line of investment and maintain a scientific attitude towards the investment market! Refuse to be blind, refuse to be ambiguous - Hello everyone,I am Teacher Qin Zeran!
There are no unprofitable investments, only immature operational models and precise and unique market structure analysis. I amgoldSenior analyst Qin Zeran is proficient in the band trend operation of the gold market, daily high and low short-term operations, has years of in-depth research on the rhythm of the market, has a bold and unrestrained personality, and sharp and accurate trading techniques. Over the years of employment, I have diligently helped countless friends who have fallen into confusion in their investments to get out of the mud. If you have any difficulties, Zeran has clever solutions!
Analysis of the latest gold market:
Analysis of Gold News: Monday(7month18day)进入欧市盘中,风险情绪回归,欧美股市反弹,美元加速走低,黄金趁机反弹站上1720美元上方,市场本周将迎来关键的欧洲央行决议以及美股财报,与此同时,美联储官员进入决议前的噤声期。随着美元下跌,金价从11个月低点小幅走高,交易员降低了美联储大幅加息的预期,并对通胀前景进行了评估。金价周一小幅走高,因美元小幅回落,不过涨幅受到美联储大幅升息预期的限制。欧市盘中,现货金上涨0.8%To per ounce1720美元上方,投资者青睐美元作为避险资产,货币政策收紧令这种不带利息的贵金属承压。日内,美元兑其他货币上周触及近20年高点后回落,令以美元计价的黄金在持有其他货币的买家眼中变得具有吸引力。
市场对美联储7Monthly interest rate increase100点预期降温,美元短线展开回调并有进一步回调需求,给金价提供反弹机会。而且俄乌地缘局势持续紧张,金价上周守住了1700关口附近关键支撑,吸引逢低买盘入场,持续下跌后守住了关键支撑位,反弹调整需求也比较大,短线金价偏向震荡反弹,并存在短线见底的可能性。随着投资者权衡美联储试图抑制价格压力而加大或更频繁加息的前景,贵金属正在萎缩。较高的利率提高了持有无收益金条的机会成本,黄金市场的人气在过去几周已经恶化。本周开始直至月底美联储议息会议之前,美联储官员将进入静默期,事关利率的表态将无从获得进一步的具体信息,因此黄金的波动率料将会降低。
黄金技术面分析:黄金价格整体而言近期走势始终处于弱势格局,价格自1880附近开始连续五周下跌,中途虽然有过几次反弹,但很快又回吐了涨幅。日线级别,布林带开口向下,价格沿着下轨震荡下行,目前来看,虽然上周一度跌破1700一线,但最终还是收盘于1700关口上方,下方存在一定的买盘支撑。4小时,布林带开口向下,价格在下轨附近受到支撑,连续阳线向上反弹,短线价格有望继续走高,不过整体大方向还是偏弱,日内大概率会是反弹之后再度下行,形成低位震荡格局,短线操作思路先看一波反弹,上方关注1725A line of resistance.
黄金小时图结构上,上周黄金极端情绪化弱势下跌,且在1700一线反复的争夺,虽然奠定了技术回弹基础,但整体偏弱状态也是一目了然的。目前小时图级别已经展开明显的回弹预期,日内上方可先关注1716短压,预期可能会有争夺,但有回撤也不会很大,下方可关注1707、1703-00一带支撑即可,上方1715预期会随着时间的推移而加大突破概率,尤其是如果美指能够持续表现调整趋势,则黄金上破回升空间会更大,届时上方可关注1723-25短压争夺,重点则看向小周期趋势线1730附近压力。本周操作上,主思路还是以择低搏短多为主,级别暂定技术性反弹,不要期待过大,但可保留回弹预期,任何空单依旧不考虑参与。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上秦泽冉建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期关注1723-1728Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1700-1695Frontline support.
crude oilLatest market analysis:
Analysis of crude oil news: Monday(7month18day),国际油价延续涨势,受美元持续回落和供应紧张支撑,抵消了潜在经济衰退可能抑制燃料需求的担忧。本周市场关注“北溪一号”管道复产前景,油价可能在周末获得新的支撑。截至目前布伦特原油futuresPrice andWTI原油期货双双上涨逾2%,因拜登沙特之行没能获得欧佩克最大产油国的增产承诺,抵销了对全球经济增长放缓的担忧。由于人们对全球经济放缓的悲观情绪升温,国际油价本月已经两度跌破每桶100美元。而现在,印度燃油需求回落进一步增加了国际油价所面临的压力。这是印度燃油销量三个月来首次出现月度下滑。此前,经济活动复苏、夏季旅行以及热浪侵袭期间柴油发电机使用量的增加推动该国燃料需求飙升。
原油技术面分析:原油技术面上有企稳的迹象,技术形态表现良好,但在大趋势未改变的情况下慎言已见大底,短期市场空方占优的格局很难改变,空方获利平仓了结是促成短线原油反弹的重要因素。从原油盘面走势来看周线上维持在宽幅震荡偏弱的走势中,原油近期的波幅拉得非常大。在日线运行节奏上基本是走出一波大幅下跌之后走一波反弹修复,然后继续下跌在日线上的下跌走势维持得比较好。在日线上目前虽有探底反弹但是延续的力度并不是太好,K线继续承压短周期均线运行。在短线周期上一波拉升横盘震荡之后技术形态已经开始在逐步走弱。原油日线收早晨之星,短期止跌概率较大。1小时周期价格重回前期成交密集区,且形成复合头肩底突破,短线继续反弹概率较大。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上秦泽冉建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期关注101.5-102.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below97.7-97.2Frontline support.
I believe everyone has seen too many analysts who show their profits in various markets, but Qin Zeran does not have magnificent profits. His strategy is publicly disclosed by friends every day, and the strategy is accurate and verified by the market situation. Keeping up is earning! No one earns every day, but someone earns every day. The difference lies in whether that person is you! There are many friends who have added Qin Zeran and are always skeptical about Qin Zeran's strategy. Is Teacher Qin's strategy accurate? Am I following or not? What should I do if I lose? I'll take a look again. Then the market came, others made a profit, and you lost. You always miss one opportunity after another in a skeptical wait and see, and then miss the next opportunity in a sigh of regret, so repeatedly that you lose the whole game. As an investor, we should remember our original intention of coming to this market and not let all our efforts go to waste. We should take cooperation and win-win as the starting point, cultivate and promote a healthy, harmonious and standardized trading philosophy, fundamentally eliminate non-performing trading models and order taking models, and truly achieve mutual benefit.
This article is originally contributed by Qin Zeran. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delay of network push, the above contents are personal suggestions. Since the network documents are timely, the suggestions are only for reference, and operational risk is borne by yourself! Reproduction and plagiarism without permission are strictly prohibited.
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