Yu Yue on Jin:7.18黄金最新涨跌走势分析，黄金原油投资操作...

　goldLatest market analysis:



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金价格整体而言近期走势始终处于弱势格局，价格自1880附近开始连续五周下跌，中途虽然有过几次反弹，但很快又回吐了涨幅。日线级别，布林带开口向下，价格沿着下轨震荡下行，目前来看，虽然上周一度跌破1700一线，但最终还是收盘于1700关口上方，下方存在一定的买盘支撑。4小时，布林带开口向下，价格在下轨附近受到支撑，连续阳线向上反弹，短线价格有望继续走高，不过整体大方向还是偏弱，日内大概率会是反弹之后再度下行，形成低位震荡格局，短线操作思路先看一波反弹，上方关注1725A line of resistance.



　　黄金小时图结构上，上周黄金极端情绪化弱势下跌，且在1700一线反复的争夺，虽然奠定了技术回弹基础，但整体偏弱状态也是一目了然的。目前小时图级别已经展开明显的回弹预期，日内上方可先关注1716短压，预期可能会有争夺，但有回撤也不会很大，下方可关注1707、1703-00一带支撑即可，上方1715预期会随着时间的推移而加大突破概率，尤其是如果美指能够持续表现调整趋势，则黄金上破回升空间会更大，届时上方可关注1723-25短压争夺，重点则看向小周期趋势线1730附近压力。本周操作上，主思路还是以择低搏短多为主，级别暂定技术性反弹，不要期待过大，但可保留回弹预期，任何空单依旧不考虑参与。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期关注1723-1728Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1700-1695Frontline support.




　　crude oilTrend analysis:

Last week, crude oil prices maintained a volatile downward trend, as announced by the US6monthCPIThe unexpected data significantly exceeded expectations, raising market expectations for a significant interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, which is not conducive to oil prices. In addition, last week the US embarked on a trip to the Middle East, hoping to urge Middle Eastern countries to increase production, which also put heavy pressure on oil prices. The future crude oil supply is gradually becoming loose, and the United States andOPEC+The rate of increase in production is still slow, but the momentum of increase in production is good. Russian crude oil production has approached the level before the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and there is room for easing supply in the medium term. This week, we need to closely monitor the results of the US visit to the Middle East, as well as the market's speculation on the prospect of the Fed raising interest rates.

Last Tuesday night,OPECPublished the latest monthly market report and provided feedback on2023The oil market underwent its first outlook for the year.OPEC7The monthly report shows that the supply shortage in the crude oil market has not been alleviated, althoughOPECorganization6Despite achieving a monthly increase in production, the total output is still far below the agreed amount. Due to insufficient investment in oil fields by some OPEC member countries and a decrease in Russian production, OPEC has been affected in recent months+的石油增产一直低于目标。当前市场上供应仍然有限，从中长期来看，对原油来说还是利多大于利空。早间开盘美原油先跌后涨，目前已重回100美元关口上方，技术指标MACD金叉向上开口，明显的多头走势，关注上方102-105一线阻力作用，空单谨慎对待，回调做多为主，回调97.8一线可介入多单，防守97.0。



Silver Technology Analysis:

Currently, the pressure on silver is concentrated and transactions are intensive20After a continuous decline, stabilization, and rebound in the region, the current rebound is still relatively strong, but20The upward pressure is clearly unable to break through and adjust at any time. There is a point where the demand for silver industry in the later stage limits the downward space. When gold stabilizes, it is still the first to long silver. The main trend should rebound and participate in short selling. If the rebound continues19.6Nearby, there can be empty layouts waiting for adjustments, as for silverTDJust follow the trend of spot buying and selling, of course, the pressure is concentrated now4500If encountering a direct short entry game and adjusting again, try not to participate in other positions as much as possible, and now switch between top and bottom4350Regional pressure continues to short4450Loss is sufficient. Available in stock18.3Try a shorter layout near the area.