Chen Zeqiang:7.15黄金原油欧美盘涨跌行情走势分析附涨跌操作...

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　====What are the recent news impactsgold走势？黄金多空该如何研判？====

Analysis of Gold News: Friday7month15，现货黄金低位徘徊，目前交投于1700dollar/附近，隔夜因美元持续走强，再度刷新近20The annual high point caused gold prices to drop to1700Below the checkpoint, approaching11Month low to1697.53dollar/Around ounces, however, the increase in initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded expectations, with two of the Fed's most hawkish officials claiming to only support7Monthly interest rate hike75Basis points, market sentiment towards the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate hike100The expected cooling of basis points has led to a rebound in gold prices1710关口附近。“美元走强正推动金价下跌，在美国消费者通胀数据公布后，交易员将升息预期从75个基点提高到100个基点，这打击了黄金，“除非通胀回落至足以停止加息，或者其他央行开始像美联储那样激进，这可能打击美元，否则黄金将不太可能看到任何正常的上升空间。

　　需要提醒的是，欧洲经济增速放缓甚至是经济衰退的风险，近期也给美元提供了强劲的上涨动能，美元的避险需求甚至盖过了黄金的避险需求，短线给金价的支撑相对有限，更多的支撑料将体现在中长线走势上。在美联储可能采取更为激进的紧缩政策之际，美元恢复了持续上涨的势头，并升至20年来的新高至109上方。美元走强被认为是对以美元计价的黄金施加沉重下行压力的关键因素。美国劳工部报告称，6月份美国消费者物价指数(CPI)加速上升至9.1%, for1981year11月以来的最高水平。该数据为美联储再次大幅加息提供了理由，并继续支撑美元。不过，因为金价近期下跌太多，短线也存在一些获利了结需求，随着美联储7Monthly interest rate increase100点的预期降温，美国消费者信心预计再创新低，全球经济衰退预期笼罩，仍需留意中长线逢低买盘给金价的支撑情况。本交易日金价震荡下探后温和反弹的可能性相对较大。

　　====黄金行情走势分析及操作建议====

Technical analysis of gold: The recent weak trend of gold prices has become very obvious, and the recent thinking has been bearish. Whether it is the trend of the US dollar hitting new highs or the strong willingness of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, they are effectively hitting the price of gold, and the factors supporting the rise of gold prices are currently too few. At the daily level, the Bollinger Belt continues to open downwards, with prices fluctuating downwards along the lower track and constantly reaching new lows. Last night, we basically tested as expected1700Near the checkpoint, although supported by some buying, prices continued to decline after a slight rebound.4When he was young, Brin took Ping away, and Brin brought him near the track, which is1745Horizontal resistance is formed on the first line, and the price has rebounded multiple times but failed to break through. The short-term trend is still volatile and short, and once the price falls below1700On the front line, the next goal is1680。 Overall, Chen Zeqiang suggests that gold's trading strategy for today should focus mainly on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by retracing and long selling, with short-term attention from above1720-1725One line of resistance, pay attention below1697-1692Frontline support.

　　====黄金短线操作建议====

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound:1718-1720Short (buy down) 2/10 positions in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1715-1710Nearby, break down and take a look1705-1700一线（建议仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎！）

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1695-1698Nearby batch long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1705-1710Nearby, break down and take a look1715-20一线（建议仅供参考，投资有风险，入市需谨慎！）

　　【crude oil】

　　美油昨日先横盘震荡消化，欧美盘时段行情再度出现一波较大幅度下跌，跌破93支撑，跌至90.4一线，随后行情快速回弹拉升，最终又回到96上方，日线收得一极长下影线的十字星线。从日线结构上来看，目前美油也是严重超卖，严重的底部背离形态，技术上有超跌反弹需求，但近期市场对美油情绪极度不稳定，所以还是要多加防范。技术上，结合小时图走势，短线美油或有进一步回升反弹需要，日内下方关注93附近支撑，如果市场情绪转多，则预期不太可能再回撤此位，但也要做好市场情绪再度变卦的风险。日内上方则关注98附近压力，未来主压还是看100Integer level.

　　操作上，日内美油可进行择低短多操作，但目前情绪异动风险未完全解除，所以务必要轻仓对待，高度谨慎。

　　①日内激进可在回踩95.5-3附近先轻仓短多，冒险亦可在96附近先尝试，统一带止损95Below, look at the target97Reduce positions nearby, change to break even and stop loss, and hold the remaining orders for further review5Daily line97.7-98一带再做减仓，可适度保留部分持单看后期回弹10Daily line100整数位附近的可能。

　　②如果日内行情回撤回95以下，则下方有待回撤94、93.5-2再尝试短多，带止损93Below, let's take a look at the target first95-96之间减仓，剩余持单根据情况再做进一步调整。

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting