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goldMessage interpretation:
Friday(7month15day)亚市盘初，现货黄金低位徘徊，隔夜因美元持续走强，再度刷新近20The annual high point caused gold prices to drop to1700Below the checkpoint, approaching11Month low to1697.53dollar/Around ounces, however, the increase in initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded expectations, with two of the Fed's most hawkish officials claiming to only support7Monthly interest rate hike75Basis points, market sentiment towards the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate hike100The expected cooling of basis points has led to a rebound in gold prices1710Near the checkpoint.
投资者需要留意市场对美联储7Expected changes in monthly interest rate hikes, if any100个基点的预期进一步降温，则有望给金价震荡筑底或者是震荡反弹提供机会。
Blue Line FuturesChief Market StrategistPhilip Streible表示，“美元走强正推动金价下跌，在美国消费者通胀数据公布后，交易员将升息预期从75个基点提高到100Basis points, 这打击了黄金。
Streible补充称，“除非通胀回落至足以停止加息，或者其他央行开始像美联储那样激进，这可能打击美元，否则黄金将不太可能看到任何上升空间。”
本交易日经济数据相对较多，亚洲时段留意中国6月规模以上工业增加值年率、中国6月社会消费品零售总额年率和中国第二季度GDP数据；欧美时段重点关注美国6Monthly retail sales rate, US6Monthly import price index rate, United States6月工业产出月率、美国7月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值，留意亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克和圣路易斯联储主席布拉德的讲话。
值得一提的是，零售销售数据因为影响力较大，被投资者戏称为“恐怖数据”，目前市场预期美国6月零售数据环比增幅将录得0.8%，5Monthly decline0.1%，该预期在数据出炉前略微偏向利空金价；此外，美国7月密歇根大学消费者信心指数是前瞻性指标，投资者也需要重点关注，目前市场预计将从6Of50进一步刷新历史低点至49.9，该预期偏向利多金价。
今日重点关注数据：
待定 美国总统拜登出访沙特
10:00 中国第二季度GDPthe annual rate
17:00 eurozone5Monthly adjusted trade account
20:30 Canada5Monthly wholesale sales rate
20:30 U.S.A6Monthly retail sales rate
20:30 U.S.A6Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate
20:30 U.S.A7New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month
21:00 Fed Brad delivers a speech
21:15 U.S.A6Monthly industrial output rate
22:00 U.S.A5Monthly commercial inventory rate
22:00 U.S.A7Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index
Technical analysis of gold:
昨日黄金白盘下跌24个点，美盘反弹拉伸近40个点，过山车行情玩转投资者的心理抗压能力，今日白盘再次修复指标下跌，这就是一个明显的信号，反弹并不是反转，不要认为有止跌的信号出现，只要美元保持强势，反转做空才是主流。技术面上，黄金日线图收K线，布林带下轨从昨日1706Move down to1700附近，布林带以及均线指标空头排列，平稳向下发展，关键MA10均线阻力从昨日的1755Move down to1748一线，很明显的趋势行情，跟着趋势走，顺势做空即可获利。
Gold4小时盘面中布林带区间压缩在1743-1722区域，布林带三轨同步偏向下发展，MA5均线及中轨布林带粘合承压1732frontline,ZigZag抛物线转向指标比较混乱，昨日下跌至1707一线转向指标却没有延续下来，这往往就是大行情的提前预警，配合美元指数强势上涨，今日指南金师更看好破新低的可能出现。附图指标上MACD红色柱减弱，快慢线平稳向下发散，KDJ随机指标三线粘合结死叉，STO指标向下运行，短周期空头持续放量控盘。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1723-1728One line of resistance, pay attention below1700-1695Frontline support.
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