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Guide Metallographer:7.13今日黄金走势分析,美盘一开即炸,金价大跌

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  7month13日,周三

  本周的重头戏美国6monthCPI今天晚上将闪亮登场,这个关系到美联储货币政策走向,显示当前通胀水平的重要指标备受瞩目,以至于昨天网上已经提前有消息称这次CPI数据提前泄露了,而且公布了一个非常夸张的数字10.2%,消息出来后,美股一度暴跌1.3%,不过随后美国统计局出面辟谣说这是假消息,让大家等待晚上的正式公布。

  这一出戏唱罢,可以说吓出了市场的不少筹码,但往往这种情况后,再公布数据可能影响就不大了,相当于给大家打了个预防针,甚至也有可能到时候会出现反向的走势。

  那么回到今天黄金走势来看,又是一波早盘下探后快速拉回,熟悉的配方,熟悉的味道。但依然是没什么营养的行情。接多或者做空利润空间都非常有限,单纯的以时间换空间。

  不过这种情况应该持续不了太久了,晚上CPI数据公布后必然会给出明确的方向,是延续性下跌,还会先走反弹,幸福二选一。

  我个人感觉比较容易出现的是后者,因为正如大家所见,下跌动能有明显放缓的迹象,这里卖盘减少,成交量萎缩,金价需要一定的拉升空间来吸引多头的重新进入,然后才能有更好的抛售位置出手。

Technical analysis of gold:

  黄金本周已经连续两个交易日低位震荡整理修正,反弹上行力度较小,而震荡偏弱持续下探的走势预期依旧不减,所以短期行情依旧处于下跌弱势趋势环境当中。趋势方向确定,其次是就是日内参与布局是重点,而短期的趋势结构偏弱,反弹力度薄弱,所以主空跟空依旧是主节奏,参与时机反弹滞涨机会高空布局为主。

  黄金趋势结构,短期为主的趋势结构偏弱下行,从高点的回落,到目前低位出现影线力度减缓的同时,短期维持的趋势方向没有改变,弱势下探为主,所以目前走势为主的还是顺势环节跟随。日内布局注意参考的点位,昨日的反弹上行高点1735一线,而周一的反弹高点是1742附近,所以从高点的降低预期就可以看出,目前的行情走势依旧是震荡偏弱环节。

  周三黄金关注弱势行情下的破位与否。早盘在1722反弹,说明1720支撑较强,亚欧盘不必追空,支撑下看反弹,短期会走一个拉高的蓄力,如果反弹力度不足,再顺势做高空,日线目前在5,10单边均线压制下走弱,上方依旧关注1735-1750,亚欧盘反弹关注1735是否破位,破位则上看1750Small cycleH4的表现也是如此,虽然4小时有明显的收口表现,但不稳固,因此,暂时极弱下跌低位震荡,随时可能破位,交易尽量做反弹空。日线收大阳吞没线或者低位十字星后再看底部反转。因此,时间点上仍需重点留意美盘时段的方向确立以及到尾盘的延续。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方关注1730-1735USD resistance, follow below1705-1710USD support

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