Dingsheng Jinshi:7.13Today's gold trend analysis, pay attention to tonightCPIData, Intraday....

【gold】


Gold daily level: still suppressed yesterday5The moving average rose, fell, and closed negative, with an extremely weak pattern still present,10The moving average is also gradually moving downwards1760Frontline1752Before breaking through the station, it is difficult to initiate a good correction rebound, but it has been in an extremely weak state, and there is a continuous demand to break the bottom. The support below still focuses on three areas:1720、1700、1680；


Gold4Hour level: Overnight suppression of track weakening again to1722One line low, at this point, the short positions on the moving average are once again open, which means there is still a downward trend. It is recommended to maintain10The main bearish trend continues to be below the moving average and mid track positions, namely1735-30Below are all short selling references;


Gold Hour Line Level: The overnight slow decline followed a downward trend, with a slight drop to1722If there is a rebound in the future, the short selling time should be around the European market, and the reference point should be chosen to focus on yesterday's decline and backtrack618Dividing resistance1732Down, because it is in a bottom oscillation pattern, the channel is downward, and the price may fluctuate, but the high point is gradually moving downwards, and the upper and lower tracks are temporarily locked in the1738-1715Between; Before standing on the track of the channel, the rebound is mainly short selling, maintaining a weak pattern at the daily level;


Also, tonight there is acpiInflation data can affect market volatility. If the published value is greater than expected, inflation will rise, briefly stimulating gold's safe haven and pulling up. However, the market will immediately react to an important point: the Federal Reserve will increase speculation7Monthly interest rate increase75The strength of the base point may even increase100Consider from a fundamental perspective; Because what the Federal Reserve is focused on doing now is to suppress inflation. If inflation continues to rise, the intensity of interest rate hikes will be greater, which will also lead to a gradual economic recession in the future, resulting in commodities and precious metals(It's about product attributes)、foreign exchangeThe market, as well as US stocks, will be subject to selling pressure, which is also the biggest factor in the recent double bearish situation for gold; In the future, if gold is to rise, it will only have to wait for inflation to decrease, or for the Federal Reserve to change its attitude and temporarily raise interest rates, but this is difficult;


Strategy


Operational approach: Gold1732Still empty, target support1722-20、1715；


　　【crude oil】


Yesterday, crude oil plummeted and closed lower on the big negative line. After the daily double positive rebound, the momentum continued to be insufficient. Yesterday105.25Under the pressure of the high point, the consolidation was carried out, and the final trading volume decreased. And it closed at a low level, with the daily line closing heavily negativeKLine. The daily line further approaches the neck line for key defense. Neckline93.0-92.50Decide on the medium term long short direction. If you fall behind and enter a double high adjustment at the daily and weekly levels, you may still compete today. Pay attention. News: Global COVID-19 Blockade curbed demand, and concerns about the global economic slowdown intensified. Investors are already selling off their oil positions, fearing that aggressive interest rate hikes to prevent inflation will lead to an economic downturn, leading to a decrease in oil demand.


　　4Hours remain within the downward trend line, but yesterday it fell below the pressure below the downward trend line and broke through the low. Currently, it is structured as4The hourly level steps fluctuate down the channel, while the second highest point was at last Friday's high point105.25.This position serves as a short line bear defense, while the lower end competes for it92.50-93.0.At present, we have entered the long short option, made steady breakthroughs, and stepped out of the direction with radical support4The downward passage of steps at the hour level serves as a reference, bouncing high into the air. Of course, the fluctuation base is relatively large, which further tests the entry point. If the point is not properly positioned and the direction is correct, it can easily cause damage. During the session, the actual session shall prevail.


Served as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance, Global Foreign Exchange, Huitong Net, and Zhongjin Net, specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!