Dingsheng Jinshi:7.12Analysis of the trend of gold in the evening, with severe suppression of high bearish positions, gold...

【gold】


From the early golden period2070The high point has started a downward trend and is currently below1783this3Wave lows leading to a decline5Wave stage. Last week, gold was under pressure1815Shake down and briefly fall below1785Forward low, thus unilaterally descending to1730Nearby, the decline can be alleviated. And thus fell into a trap1730—1750The range undergoes lateral oscillations and ultimately rises on non farm nights1750Falling back and falling back to the starting point. Today, the Asian gold market staged againVForm reversal, once broken1732This oscillates at the bottom and undergoes acceleration, resulting in walking down to1723Position, but the subsequent decline did not continue, but ushered in an instant rise20USD to1743Nearby, its rebound was fierce, but ultimately it was just a flash in the pan, belonging to the self rescue of bulls, representing a serious suppression of bearish high positions and still falling back now1732Below.


The current market trend of gold is completely in line with expectations, with a daily decline5The wave did indeed fulfill its mission and fell again, breaking through1732Refresh low point again to1723The position perfectly validates the author's ideas, and the trend analysis chart shows it at a glance. Now it's rising and falling again, breaking through1732The bottom of the market fluctuates, and the downside risk of gold intensifies. After each strong pull up by bulls, they can fall out of new lows, indicating that the bearish trend is extremely suppressed. But now it has dropped to1720Nearby, based on the magnitude of the daily downward wave,1Waves from2070—1890, decline180dollar;5Waves from1870—1720The decline during this period is also sufficient150US dollars, although there are still30The gap in the US dollar can basically decline5The waves have also come to an end. The bearish trend is now clear, and the bullish rebound is only a technical repair before falling back again, especially after the current negative and fluctuating daily trend, which has once again fallen to a new low,MA5—MA10Downward suppression with dead fork on the moving average,MACDGreen column capable of measuring; The weekly trend has been negative for four consecutive times, and last week's huge negative decline has ended, with bearish sentiment still strong. Current focus1720Nearby support, if it breaks, it will be tested1700Nearby, rebound attention1738Nearby pressure, take advantage of the situation.


Strategy


　　7.12Golden Market Strategy:1--1728-1830Multiple, stop loss1725, Objective1738-1740


　　2--1738-1740Empty, stop loss1745, Objective1732-1730


　　【crude oil】


Tuesday（7month12During the Asia Europe period, US crude oil weakened due to fluctuations, and currently trading in101.43dollar/Barrel, concerns about the Asian epidemic have intensified in the market, as demand prospects have been dragged down, global stock markets have generally fallen, and the Shanghai Composite Index has hit a new low of two and a half weeks, which has weighed on oil prices; Moreover, market concerns about the prospects of a global economic recession, especially in the eurozone, persist, and the US dollar continues to strengthen, jointly suppressing oil prices.


On the supply side, the Russian court overturned the previous suspension on MondayCPCCaspian stone*Line operation30After the ruling of days, concerns about the interruption of the Caspian Sea pipeline have been alleviated. In addition, US National Security Advisor Sullivan stated on Monday that when US President Biden meets with Gulf leaders in Saudi Arabia this week, he will promoteOPECOil producing countries increase production to lower gasoline prices. Attention on this trading dayOPECMonthly crude oil market reportEIAMonthly short-term energy outlook report andAPIChanges in crude oil inventory data.


Technically, the opening of crude oil daily line Bollinger Bands extends downward, and the average index moves downward synchronously6The crude oil price remained on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands within three trading days106.2The operation below indicates that the oil price is still in the stage of short selling and control, and the current price is under pressureMA5MA10Mean line bonding position104.1The lower part fluctuates and consolidates. In the near future, the crude oil price should pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Bands106.2And down the track97.5Breakthroughs in the region.4The upper Bollinger Bands of the hour panel is closed, and the upper and lower rail sections are compressed to105.5-100.1Continue to include5Root YinKIn the case of a line, the price is once again close4Hour off track, if it returns to negative againKThe line will inevitably extend downwards. On the attached indicatorsMACDThe green column is emerging with a trend of dead forks,KDJRandom index synchronous dead fork signal,STOIndicator down,SARThe Parabolic SAR diverges downward, and the short-term increases downside risk. Overall, today's market is closely watched by the top104.1-105.5Resistance, pay attention below98.1-96.2In terms of support and operation, Dingsheng Jinshi suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding and short selling, supplemented by low selling.


Strategy


Note: Rizospastis100Breaking through and chasing after the air below the checkpoint, first touch97.2Short term market rebound, weekly offline support96.2Try multiple bands nearby;


Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》Professional contributors to several well-known financial forums such as "Huitong Net" and "Zhongjin Net", specializing in short, medium, and long term operations of gold, crude oil, and silver. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. Suggestions are for reference only; This article is original by Dingsheng Jinshi, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. If there is any similarity, it is purely plagiarism. Readers should be discerning and respect originality!