潘金逸：7.9现货黄金下周一开盘走势预测，涨跌趋势及布...

有些做投资的朋友，被行情调戏了几次，心里就有了阴影，感觉自己不适合做投资。每个人的一生，难免都会遭受挫折和失败。所不同的是失败者总是把挫折当失败，从而使每次都能够深深打击他取胜的勇气；成功者则是从不言败，在一次又一次的挫折面前，总是对自己说：“我不是失败了，而是还没有成功。”一个暂时失利的人，如果继续努力，打算赢回来，那么他今天的失利，就不是真正的失败。相反的，如果他失去了再战斗的勇气，那就是真输了。

　　gold下周（7.11）技术面分析

From a technical perspective of gold, at the weekly level, gold has been consistently negative for four consecutive years, and the moving average indicator is dead cross,KDJAndRSIIndex dead fork divergence,MACDThe dead cross of the indicator crosses the zero axis, with the empty side occupying an advantageous position; At the daily level, after the decline of gold, it temporarily stopped falling and stabilized. The low level was consolidated horizontally, and the moving average index diverged with a dead fork. The Bollinger band moved downwards,MACDDead fork divergence below the zero axis of the indicator,KDJAndRSIThe downward trend of the dead cross indicator has slowed down, with bears occupying a dominant position and prices in the short term being in the adjustment stage.

From the gold hour chart, it can be seen that the gold price has clearly broken through the support to resistance line that began last Friday, coupled withMACDSending a bullish signal, this allows bullish gold bulls to maintain hope for gold prices within the three-day upward trend channel. The price of gold will be1750dollar/Nearby ounces50The periodic moving average encounters resistance, and the next resistance is on the upper edge of the channel(near1752dollar/ounce)。 If the gold price is conquered1752dollar/Resistance around ounces, then gold prices may rise100Periodic moving average and last week's decline50%Fibonacci retreat(stay1774dollar/Around ounces)。 Breach1774dollar/The ounce level seems to be a tricky issue for gold bulls. On the downside, if there is a pullback in gold, then the gold price needs to fall below the channel support line1737dollar/Ounces to attract gold bears. If it falls below this support, gold prices may challenge their recent lows1732dollar/ounce. If the gold price falls below1732dollar/Ounces, then it's not ruled out that gold prices will fall1721dollar/Nearby ounces2021year9The possibility of a monthly low point. In summary, it is recommended to focus on rebounding and short selling as the main operating strategy for gold next week, with many retracement and low selling as a supplement, and short-term attention above1752-1757Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1732-1727Frontline support.

　　crude oilNext week's market trend analysis;

　　原油消息面解析；本周，国际油价创下4Since mid month, it has reached a new low as investors' concerns about the prospects of a global economic recession have intensified, suppressing fuel demand. However, investors are also concernedOPECThe tight supply caused by factors such as production cuts, geopolitical turmoil, and strikes has further limited the decline in oil prices. Last week, the Libyan National Oil Company stated that Libya's export volume has decreased to36.510000 barrels to40.910000 barrels/Day, a decrease of approximately86.510000 barrels/Day. According to the survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)of10Member states in6Monthly production reduction1010000 barrels/Day, to285210000 barrels/Day, failed to fulfill its promise27.510000 barrels/Increase production daily. There are reports that Japan has proposed limiting Russian oil prices to around half of their current levels. In response, former Russian President Medvedev warned that this move would lead to a significant reduction in oil supply in the market and push prices up to a barrel300USD or even400The US dollar is not enough. Traders are paying attention to the Caspian Pipeline Alliance(CPC)Possible interruption of oil supply. The Russian court has issued a ruling demanding that the alliance suspend operations30Days. The Western sanctions against Russia have led to a decrease in their oil exports and pushed up oil prices. But the United States stated that Kazakhstan's oil exports through Russia should not be interrupted. With more interest rate hikes and the possibility of a technical recession in the US economy, bulls' ambitions may be very limited. The only reason why oil prices did not start a decline is that Russia actively and passively restricted oil production.

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日反弹转阳收复前一日下跌失地，日线双阴转阳，短期依旧是宽幅震荡，加之下方关键支撑点93.0Not lost, neck line not lost, unable to open up the downward space in the short term. Although there was a decline at the beginning of the week, the overall operation is still within a wide range. The daily cycle of yin and yang will still be tested in the short term93.0-95.0Supporting the area, it is not ruled out to repeatedly touch the height, forming a sawing of intervals. Previously, the retreat was supported on the Bollinger track and also by the neckline, with no breakthrough in key points and mainly characterized by short-term fluctuations.4The downward trend and rebound of the hour have recovered the lost ground from the previous day's decline, and the weakness will not continue. In the short term, it will bring back the volatility, whileK线实体收得偏强，白盘可能先行延续反弹，但持续性依旧是现在的主要问题，单边趋势延续不足，反应到短线上就会来回拉锯。而在大波动基数的震荡行情中，短线操作更考虑进场点位，方向反倒其次，找好切入点，多空都有机会。综合来看，原油下周开盘操作思路上尤破金建议以宽幅震荡为主，上方短期重点关注106.0-107.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.0-100.0Frontline support.