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goldMessage interpretation:
PepperstoneResearch DirectorChris WestonWednesday(7month6day)表示，有关经济衰退的预测正在引发大宗商品领域的大幅下滑，铜、石油、黄金和白银的空头头寸迅速增加。
欧盟的经济衰退风险似乎最大，因为欧洲央行被迫在经济增长前景黯淡的情况下收紧政策以控制通胀。然而，Weston在周三的一份报告中警告说，经济衰退更多的是一个全球性问题。
“欧洲可能需要最密切的关注，但这是一个全球问题。在一个利率不断上升，各国央行不顾一切地把通胀魔咒放回瓶子里的世界里，我们已经看到了需求破坏的明确证据——大宗商品一直是这一主题的默认表达，目前还看不到增长或什么改变了趋势——尽管市场还活在未来，但感觉情况在好转之前会变得更糟，”Weston写道。
到目前为止，主要的收获是美元指数反弹至20年高点，因为美元相对欧元、英镑以及澳元等大宗商品货币占据主导地位。
“无论从相对增长的角度来看，还是从作为投资目的地的吸引力来看，美元都占据主导地位，”WestonSay.
经济衰退的呼声夹杂着美元的强劲上涨。美元上涨意味着大宗商品价格的负面波动。
“大宗商品面临着两方面的战争——需求破坏和美元为王，这导致大宗商品出现一些剧烈的空头趋势，可以毫不夸张地说，系统性的趋势跟风人群已经在铜、银、金、美国汽油以及小麦和大豆等大宗商品上建立了大量空头头寸，”Weston说。“大宗商品是衰退风险的默认表现——crude oil和黄金从客户那里获得资金，但对于那些喜欢势头和趋势的人来说，这是需要关注的空间。”
在大宗商品市场，卖空者是值得关注的。Weston补充道，对黄金而言，这可能意味着其将跌至1750美元。周四，金价在1750美元下方交投。
“如果美元继续被买入，或许可以看看以澳元或欧元计价的黄金敞口，可能会有上行突破空间。不过，即使到那时，我也希望等待市场采取行动，让市场自行显现。”
Technical analysis of gold:
Gold currently4小时图短线走出一波单边的放量，同时也创出近期的最大单日跌幅，波动基数开始加大，K线形态则是大阴线下挫放量，小阳线反弹修正，反弹空间小，弱势修正的手法。金价触及1732低点转换小阳线再修正，目前已有两根小阳K线的修正，结合昨日的整理修正走法，接下来会转阴再惯性的摔低，故亚欧盘的反弹是一个空点，随着日线和4小时的放量，日内短线在摔低之后，低位的空单及时落袋，可能伴随反复的下探回升整理再蓄势下跌。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1754-1760Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1725-1730Frontline support.
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