Chen Zeqiang:7.8现货黄金最新行情走势分析及解套策略布局

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldTrend analysis:

Friday（7month8At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading in1740关口附近，市场目光普遍聚焦晚间将出炉的美国6月份非农就业报告，从ISM制造业和非制造业的就业分项指数、初请失业金人数变动、裁员等数据来看，美国6月失业率大概率会上升，新增就业也会放缓，这可能会在短线给金价反弹提供机会。但多位美联储官员强化7Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期，调查显示美元未来三个月都将维持强势，仍可能会限制金价的反弹空间。High Ridge FuturesMetal Trading SupervisorDavid Meger表示：“在黄金遭大规模抛售后，出现了一些常见的逢低买入。在昨天低见1700美元后，显然有一些人有兴趣低吸买入。周四美元没有进一步上涨，也让黄金得以反弹。”值得一提的是，黄金ETF过去六个交易日减持39吨黄金，持有量降至近四个月最低，这暗示金价仍有进一步下探风险。

　　黄金整体来说走势还是相对较弱，连续两日的大幅下跌并没有迎来像样的反弹，周四整个交易日维持在1850下方区域横盘震荡，价格两次向上试探，但均未能作出突破。日线级别，布林带开口向下，价格于低位横盘整理，晚间有非农数据公布，预期亚欧盘波动将不会太大，日内需关注1750一线的阻力情况。4小时，布林带开口向下，价格短线有反弹迹象，但反弹力度不大，价格存在进一步走低的风险，日内价格没有上破1750一线之间，操作思路暂时保持不变，以1750一线为防守，暂时先看回落。

Gold Strategy: Rebound1745Short nearby, stop loss1753, Objective1720。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别震荡下跌；MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，空头占据上风，短线油价仍有进一步下跌风险，初步支撑在隔夜低点95.14附近，（4month25日低点支撑也在该位置附近），200The daily moving average is supported by93.35Nearby（4month11日低点支撑也在该位置附近），该支撑需要重点关注，如果失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。布林线轨道开口，投资者需要提防油价沿布林线下轨向下运行的可能性。在失守200日均线前，需要提防多头反扑，初步阻力在100Near the integer level,6month22Resistance at daily low points101.54Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance103.19Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance106.78，多头若能收复该位置，则暗示趋势转多。小时图上看，NYMEX油价料升破99.58USD, and further up touch102.34美元。它们分别是6month29day-7month6日下行空间的23.6%and38.2%斐波那契回档位。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路上陈泽强建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.0-100.5Frontline support.

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting