潘金逸：7.8黄金陷入超卖区域，金价难回400一克大关

很多人总是会想我们没日没夜的挣扎在这个市场上是为了什么？无非就是抓住机会分一分市场这块蛋糕。而事实上并没有那么容易，很多人说自己没有财运，渐渐地对市场产生了难以磨灭的恐惧，每一次诱多每一次诱空，你从来没有错过，每一次正确的感觉你却不敢下单，因为你害怕，所以正中了市场的下怀。不是市场的套路太深，说到底还是你太天真，在你每次欣喜的自以为经过你再三的考虑认为时机已经成熟的时候，你可曾想过有个词语叫做事不过三？难在行情,Trapped in cooperation,死于误导。

　　

goldTrend analysis

　　黄金未能经受住美联储的鹰派言论攻击逐步走跌，但是很明显也进入了超卖阶段，同时多头最后的防守1720Also in the5浪下跌中顺利企稳，多头有望卷土重来，不排除本轮下跌是非农前的最后一波诱空行为，所以简单一点晚间主思路可选择低多为主，稳健关注1736区域多，激进1840即可开多，目标1755-1770。即便不出现大涨，技术性的反弹定会来袭

　　目前已有两根小阳K线的修正，结合昨日的整理修正走法，接下来会转阴再惯性的摔低，故亚欧盘的反弹是一个空点，随着日线和4小时的放量，日内短线在摔低之后，低位的空单及时落袋，可能伴随反复的下探回升整理再蓄势下跌。在反弹中择机高空，首个阻力在1745-1750一带，其次是1756-1758.临界点在1773.0.临界点之下反弹高空。

　　

crude oil行情分析走势：

　　小时图上看，NYMEX油价料升破99.58USD, and further up touch102.34美元。它们分别是6month29day-7month6日下行空间的23.6%and38.2%斐波那契回档位。综合来看，今日短线操作思路黄乾瑞建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.9Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.5-99.5一线支撑。我们跟大家分享的97附近多单也是完美兑现100上方目标位，只是因为原油库存数据的刺激，反弹幅度有些超预期，目前最高触及104.2一线了，然后随着EIA原油库存回升，也是快速回落，整体思路还是没毛病，晚间在104附近有机会埋伏点空单，看凌晨二次回落，白盘回踩企稳之后再找机会看反弹即可。

　　

解套技巧：

　　（1）Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?

　　（2）Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.

　　（3）降低均价法：被套后，如果是套在相对历史低点，就不用担心，因为黄金本身的价值决定了黄金不可能出现较大跌幅，必然会有反弹的空间，这个时候要不断的逢低加仓买入，逢低15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when gold experiences a rebound, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method.

　　（4）Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.

Serve as an analyst and commentator for well-known financial channels such as Sina Finance and Globalforeign exchange》《汇通网》《中金网》等多家知名财经论坛专业撰稿人，擅长黄金原油白银短中长线操作，投资有风险，入市需谨慎，建议仅供参考；本文潘金逸原创，用心写好每一篇分析，传递有价值的投资理念。如有雷同纯属抄袭，读者请擦亮眼甄别，尊重原创！