Guide Metallographer:7.5今日黄金走势分析，美元强势上行

　　goldInterpretation of message surface;


　　最近一段时间，全球央行加息前景，打压金价下跌，不过黄金跌幅相对有限，日内美元拉升，刷新近二十年以来的高位，金价也仅仅是从日内高位回落十美元，指南金师认为，之所有会出现这种情况，是因为基本面利好因素继续支撑金价，主要包括市场对高通胀、地缘局势以及经济衰退的担忧，一直挥之不去，这增加了黄金的吸引力。


　　消息方面，高盛周一表示，货币紧缩可能会持续，美国经济可能会出现技术性衰退；本周将公布美国6月非农数据，市场预计失业率上升幅度可能超出预期，这可能影响美联储7月加息决策，加息50个基点而非75个基点；前日本央行首席经济学家表示，央行可能在本月上调通胀预期，加拿大央行报告显示，未来两年通胀预期可能创最高纪录，通胀压力预计将持续更长时间，德国总理表示，生活成本历史性飙升，需要迅速采取行动，韩国6monthCPIcreate24年来最快升幅，这些消息显示通胀正在继续上升，且将持续更长的时间；另外地缘局势依旧紧张，上述消息均对金价有利。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨天黄金日线结构上来看，黄金日内先震荡回修后又回弹，但在上方1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.


At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on the wait-and-see approach in the current market, and follow the direction of the volatility before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, they will still be bearish. Participation is the rhythm direction of the bearish market, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。综上所述总结：今日黄金操作上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1895-1890Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1765-1760Frontline support.


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