指南金师：今日黄金走势分析，按不住的通胀，扶不起的...

　　goldInterpretation of message surface;


Overview of the current situation of the spot gold market:


　　由于美联储继续保持大力度加息的行动已经毫无悬念，所以市场已经消化预期的情况下，黄金价格并没有进一步打开下行的空间，尽管目前的走势还是偏弱为主。对于黄金而言，后市的机会还是在于经济衰退的风险是否到来，一旦发现经济数据加速放缓，那么不但影响美联储加息的信心，甚至会开始产生大量的避险情绪。


　　指南金师现货黄金参考新闻：市场人士大多预计，美联储本轮升息周期至少会持续到明年底，但未必人人都对此表示认可，毕竟市场已经习惯了长时间处在低利率环境中。2022In the first quarter of the year, the United StatesGDPshrink1.6%. Now, AtlantaGDPNowThe model suggests that there may be further contraction in the second quarter1%. If this prediction is true, then a recession in the US economy seems to have arrived.


Focus on spot gold market today:


United States5月耐用品订单月率修正值；


United States5Monthly factory order rate.


　　指南金师提别提醒：今日的市场基本面还是围绕美国方面的经济数据为主，尤其是耐用品订单的情况应该会备受关注，目前加息的力度继续保持的情况下需要留意经济放缓的迹象是否明显，这对于黄金而言是非常关键的支撑信号。


Technical analysis of gold:


　　昨天黄金日线结构上来看，黄金日内先震荡回修后又回弹，但在上方1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.


At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on the wait-and-see approach in the current market, and follow the direction of the volatility before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, they will still be bearish. Participation is the rhythm direction of the bearish market, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。综上所述总结：今日黄金操作上指南金师建议以反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1812-1817Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1790-1785Frontline support.


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