Chen Zeqiang:7.5今日黄金原油最新行情走势分析策略布局

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(7month4day)，现货黄金持稳，尽管美元指数在清淡的市况中走弱，但鉴于美联储政策制定者强调抗通胀目标是“无条件的”，巩固了市场对其进一步收紧货币政策的预期，也限制了金价反弹。美国市场周一恰逢独立日假期，流动性较往常稀薄。美联储加息预期略有降温，也削弱了美元吸引力。美国futures市场数据显示，截至6month28日当周，对冲基金削减美元净多头头寸20100 million US dollars to140亿美元。这是三周以来美元净多头寸首次下降。但主要非美货币中缺乏能够取而代之的闪光点，美联储在加息方面仍有望超越同行。即使市场已经缩减对美联储加息预期，全球经济衰退的担忧仍将利多美元。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金日线结构上来看，黄金日内先震荡回修后又回弹，但在上方1814The first line was blocked, and then the market fluctuated and retreated, while the low point in the European session retreated to1804On the first line, the overall trend is also in line with the expected volatility and digestion trend for the day. At present, the short-term market trend may not be easy to control, and the late US market closure will also make the market trading sentiment cautious, so the overall volatility will not be significant. Stay tuned above the evening gold5Daily line1812-14Short term pressure competition, although there were punctures within the day1812As5The pressure of daily and small cycle trend lines may still become a key point of contention in the evening. According to the daily structure, if we close today5Not too much on the daily line, but above1820Frontline action10The daily pressure and trend line pressure will still have a further suppressive effect, so short-term gold can be biased towards bearish, but do not expect too much space. Technically, the overall rebound is still weak, and the current rebound is only a technical oversold rebound, making it difficult to achieve a reversal.

At present, while both the bullish and bearish directions of the gold market may occur, it is recommended to focus on observing the current market situation and follow the trend direction before participating. The short-term trend structure should be clarified first, and the trend should still be bearish, meaning that bears have the main advantage. When the rebound is blocked and suppressed, the main rhythm direction is still bearish participation, rather than disrupting the rhythm direction due to short-term low rebound. Friday, althoughVType reversal, but never breaking the bearish trend line.4The mid hour orbit will stillKThe physical part of the line is pressed to death, and has not broken through the middle track multiple times, indicating the strong pressure. Breaking through is not a result of Asahi's efforts, and it will inevitably undergo the baptism of time. It is clearly not enough now. Now gold is at a critical watershed position, while4小时中轨压制金价，双重因素引导我们继续看空黄金。在黄金没有转势的情况下，不要枉然抄底。综上所述总结：今日黄金操作上陈泽强建议反弹做空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1820-1825Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1797-1792Frontline support. The article can only provide you with a temporary direction and ideas, as for the specific entry point settlement τ Please pay attention to the timing. Chen Zeqiang's firm offer will be provided in real time.

Internationalcrude oilMessage and technical aspects:

　　原油市场资讯：周一（7month4日）亚欧时段，美原油震荡微涨，早些时候因为对经济衰退的担忧，美原油一度下跌逾1%to107.25附近，但随后对供给紧张的担忧主导市场情绪。调查显示6monthOPEC产量比5月下降，利比亚和尼日利亚的非自愿性减产盖过了沙特阿拉伯和其他生产大国的供应增加。而且由于政治动荡升级，利比亚的供应可能进一步中断。挪威石油和天然气工人计划在本周举行的罢g。调查预计，沙特的阿拉伯轻质原油可能比上个月每桶上涨约2.40美元；这些都给多头提供信心。短线来看，油价略微震荡偏多。本交易日恰逢美国独立日假期，原油市场提前休市，整体交投可能受限，主要关注供给面的相关消息，留意新冠疫情和猴痘疫情的相关消息。

Technical analysis of crude oil:4小时级别：震荡；布林线轨道水平运行，注意布林线轨道104.99-113.81的突破。目前，MACD前期金叉、KDJ金叉和短期略有偏离，向上振荡。目标是指布林线113.81号轨道附近，是否可以进一步突破需要进一步关注。短期来看，在110.45附近也有一些阻力。由于当前油价仍受到布林线中轨109.40附近阻力的抑制，请注意106.88附近的支撑。如果跌破该位置，短期看涨信号将减弱，强劲支撑将位于布林线下轨104.99附近。一旦跌破这一支撑位，中线的看跌信号就会增强。短期依然受制于109.60一线的均线压制一旦突破并且站稳将会继续震荡上行，操作上我们继续重点逢低做多

　　个人建议：回调做多为主；WTIWatershed:108.5dollar/bucket

　　策略参考：空单建议原油111-110.8分批进场，止损0.4Points, target108.0-107.5Nearby. Multiple suggested crude oil orders107.5-108.0分批进场，止损0.4Points, target110.6-111.2nearby.(Kind reminder: Investment is risky and entering the market with caution. Personal opinions are for reference only!)

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting